Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, and Algorithm Picks from the SportsGrid Betting Model
Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz NBA Game Information
Suns (3-1) vs. Jazz (2-1)
Date: Thursday, December 31
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Vivint Smart Home Arena
TV Coverage: ATRM, FSAZ
Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: Suns +135 Jazz -158
Spread: Suns +3.5 (-110) Jazz -3.5 (-110)
Total: 219.5 (-111)
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Suns +4900 Jazz +2500
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Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz News and Notes
The somewhat surprising Suns look to continue their recent success with some smooth Jazz on New Year’s Eve. Phoenix has jumped out to a 3-1 record after beating the Mavericks, Kings, and Pelicans this season. The Suns will look for their first three-game winning streak since ending the NBA bubble season on an eight-game stretch of victories.
Phoenix is demonstrating an all-ball offense with everyone on the floor getting their looks. The Suns have seven players averaging double-digits in points, with Cameron Payne knocking on the door of the balanced attack club scoring 9.8 points per game.
A big reason so many players are getting so many good looks is the play of first-year Sun Chris Paul. Phoenix, of course, traded for Paul right before this NBA season kicked off. The floor general that he is, Paul didn’t wait long to bring his intensity and ball sharing approach to Arizona. CP3 is leading the Suns with 9.5 assists per game, a number that puts him fifth in the league in that category.
Phoenix is also getting it done on the defensive end of the floor. The Suns are allowing a league-low 98.5 points per game, more than three points better than any other team. A big part of that success comes from defending the perimeter where Phoenix has the second-best 3-point shooting percentage against, allowing just 25.2 of shots from behind the arc to fall. There’s no coincidence to this type of play with the seven-time NBA All-Defensive First Team member Chris Paul suiting up for the Suns this season.
The normally dominant home-team Jazz are still looking for their first win in Utah. As nine-point favorites, Utah surprisingly lost their home opener to the Timberwolves on Boxing Day. The Jazz were 23-12 at home last season.
Utah followed up the Boxing Day loss with a thrilling win in Oklahoma City.
Donovan Mitchell knocked down a floater with seven seconds left to escape OKC with the one-point victory. Again the Jazz were favored by nine over the rebuilding Thunder but were unable to cover.
Following a dominant opening-night win over a very good team in Portland, the Jazz have been grinding out their last few games.
The defense has been there as Utah is ranked sixth in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just over 108 per game. They’ve also been great on the glass, leading the NBA in team rebounding, pulling down 53.3 rebounds per game. A big reason is the play of their big man.
Rudy Gobert leads the Jazz and is second in the league, collecting nearly 15 rebounds per game. Gobert’s also putting up top-ten totals in blocks averaging 1.7 swats per game.
The Jazz are scoring too, averaging the ninth-most points per game at 114 a game. The problem is the quality of their shots and the efficiency of their offense. Utah is ranked 21st in the league, shooting 44.5 percent from the field, and 18th with a 35 percent rate from three-point land. Their best scorer has been snakebitten the most.
Donovan Mitchell is dead last on the team shooting just 32 percent from the field and 27 from behind the arc. Mitchell is still averaging 20 points per game, but it’s taking him almost 21 shots to get it. The 2017 first-round draft pick shot nearly 53 percent in last year’s playoffs after a regular-season firing at a 45 percent rate. Mitchell is a career 43 percent shooter, so things should balance out eventually righting the ship in Utah.
The Suns have covered in three of their four games this season while going under in every game. Utah only covered on opening night and went under in their first two games before hitting the over in their tight winner over OKC.
While Phoenix covered in their past two meetings with Utah, the Jazz reeled off seven straight wins before that, including five-straight covers over the Suns. The under has been the play in six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between this pair.
Phoenix Suns vs. Utah Jazz Predictions and Picks
SG Betting Model Win Probability: Suns 75.11% Jazz 24.89%
SG Betting Model ML Star Rating: Suns – 5 stars
SG Betting Model Spread Star Rating: Suns – 5 stars
SG Betting Model Total Star Rating: Under – 5 stars
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