Updated NBA Defensive Player of the Year Futures, Odds and Analysis
A month and a half into the NBA season, we revisit the odds, line moves, and all the action in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year futures market.
Top 10 Odds to Win DPOY
- Anthony Davis +190
- Rudy Gobert +300
- Myles Turner +350
- Giannis Antetokounmpo +750
- Ben Simmons +950
- Joel Embiid +1000
- Bam Adebayo +1600
- Kawhi Leonard +3300
- Clint Capela +5500
- Draymond Green +5500
Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk free for up to $1,000!
The embarrassment of riches for the Los Angeles Lakers spills over into the NBA Defensive Player of the Year futures market. Not only do they have the odds on favorite to win the league’s MVP after LeBron James shot to the head of the class, but they also have Anthony Davis atop the DPOY list. Davis remains the favorite to take home the brass, although his odds have gotten even thinner. Davis went from +240 in mid-December to +190, under 2 to 1 odds. It’s a little surprising Davis has such short offs. He’s fifth in the league in blocks with 1.8, outside the top-25 with 1.3 steals, and is averaging under ten boards per game. Sure it’s not all about stats and about a player’s ability to shut his man down, but his numbers don’t jump out at you whatsoever. In AD’s defense, he is ranked second in the non-traditional stat with 1.3 defensive win shares.
Myles Turner is the big market mover going from +3300 to the number three odds on favorite at +350. Turner has well earned his way up the list leading the league with a ridiculous 4.1 blocks per game. The Pacers center leads Rudy Gobert, who remains the second favorite with the exact same odds of +300, by 1.4 blocked shots a night. Just to explain how crazy that is, those 1.4 blocks per game would put a player 17th in the NBA, so if you take Gobert and the NBA second-most blocks and the 17th ranked player, they just equal Turner’s massive swat numbers. The 24-year-old Texan matches Anthony Davis’ 1.3 steals per game but is really hurt by his only 6.9 boards a night. Turner ranks sixth in the league with 1.1 defensive win shares.
Clint Capela has also made a big move. The Hawks center is still a longshot at +5500 but has moved into the top ten and come a long way from +8000 in December. Capela is having a career year on the defensive end with personal bests in rebounds with 14.3 per game and blocked shots with 2.3 a night. He ranks third in the league in swats and second in rebounds behind the league leader, who is conspicuous with his absence from this list.
Andre Drummond has been leading the league all year on the glass, putting up nearly 15 a night. Cleveland’s big man also ranks sixth in the league and first among centers with 1.7 steals per game to go along with 1.4 blocks per game. The former Piston is also second in the league with 1.2 defensive win shares. It’s astounding Drummond is still sitting at +10000 after opening at +15000 and seems like a whole lot of value right now for a guy ruling rebounds in the NBA.
Defending DPOY Giannis Antetokounmpo hasn’t moved much, going from +750, falling from third to fourth on the board. Giannis’ rebounding is down slightly from last year, putting up 11.4 compared to 13.6, while his blocks and steals are somewhat up.
It’s almost like we take Rudy Gobert’s defense for granted as he kind of goes under the radar in Utah. He remains the number two favorite and is in the midst of another stellar season. He’s second in the league with 2.7 blocks and third with 14.1 boards a night. Gobert’s numbers in those categories are both career-highs and better than his 2018 and 2019 totals, where he won back-to-back DPOY awards.