NBA DFS Picks: OTTOmatic
NBA DFS Picks: OTTOmatic
Every week I write this piece, I'm tempted to just start with the Rebecca Black video. You know it, the one about it being Friday. Sure, you're excited that there is a great slate of potentially high scoring games tonight – but you're probably more excited that working for the weekend has paid off.
PG: John Wall
I promise, Wall will not be the only Wizards player that makes it into this piece today. Wall and company will host the 76ers in what should be a great game for DFS purposes. As of writing this, the total on this game is closing in on 215 and the Wizards are currently favored by more than eight. Wall has been excellent this season and is coming off a slugfest with Steph Curry (in which he also dominated). He's nearly carved out a career high in usage rate (29.2) and is top-10 in the league in that category at this time. The extra offense, including a career high in shots per game (as well as threes per game) hasn't hindered his ability to distribute though, as his assist% is holding steady from his mark last season. Of course, you also know that the Sixers cannot defend anyone, and that Wall should have no trouble in this matchup – but then again, everyone knows that. He'll carry a decent amount of ownership, but is a great start in cash games.
SG: Victor Oladipo
Listen, I hate to default to Oladipo after his monster game, knowing that recency bias will drag up his ownership level. But there is no one else!!! Jimmy Butler is questionable, James Harden is not on the slate, and jeez, neither is Kobe. That leaves us with Oladipo, who by the way, won't break the bank despite his solid recent play. With consistent minutes, and a defined role, Oladipo has been solid this season. His per-36 minute numbers read 16/7/5.5/4.7 to go with nearly two steals per game. He's playing in another contest with a total over 200 tonight and one with only a four point spread – meaning he should have plenty of minutes on the floor. While the matchup doesn't hurt, the fact that he's got an accessible price tag at a position with little depth makes him that much sweeter.
SF: Otto Porter
I know that you're going to need to pay up to reach John Wall and others tonight and by using Oladipo and Porter, you'll be able to get there. Otto just played his first full game back after a hip injury derailed his minutes for a few games, but there are no indications that he will be slowed tonight. This matchup is perfect for a player like Porter that doesn't dominate one statistical category, but instead contributes to all. Plus, anytime you can get a player at a discounted price who gets 30+ minutes against the Sixers, you'll want to do so. It just so happens that Porter also plays a position that lacks depth, especially in the shallow end of the pool (that might be a bad analogy for lower priced players). If anything, take solace in the fact that you can scream OTTTTOOOOOOOOOO, each time he hits a three (he attempts 4.3 per-36).
PF: Derrick Favors
Favors is another guy who is just getting back and acclimated to the court after a somewhat lengthy layoff. In his time back though, he's performed admirably (given his current pricing) and tonight has another great matchup against a weak Milwaukee frontcourt. After exploiting the Nuggets frontcourt earlier in the week, Favors will look to dismantle a Bucks squad that has allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (per Rotowire) to opposing power forwards. Although he's only played in 31 games this year, for qualified players, Favors is 15th in the league in PER (Player Efficiency Rating). For comparison, the only cheaper DFS play in the top-15 is Enes Kanter. I don't see Favors having any trouble tonight.
Center: DeMarcus Cousins/Brook Lopez
I didn't want to solely recommend Boogie in this spot, because he is only eligible at C on FD. However, Lopez, who will be playing the opposite side of the Center coin in this matchup, is eligible on both spots at the five. This should be a great game for scoring and both of these guys will be at the cornerstone of it. The game has a total of 212 and a close enough spread that there shouldn't be any real threat of a blowout (although the Nets are really bad). If you need some rationale for Cousins, get this – He's got the second highest usage rate in the league (only behind Westbrook), a top-10 PER, and he's averaging 27.1/11.3 per game. He is listed as probable for tonight's game, although he did miss a game earlier this week due to an ankle injury. In Lopez, you won't get a top-5 center matchup, but 11th best isn't too bad is it? He comes at a significant discount and while he won't fight for boards or swat as many shots as his crazy-haired brother, he's the focal point of the offense and is averaging more than 20 points a game.
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