NBA DFS Quick Look Thursday
Your brackets are all wrong. Every one of them. Burn them and save yourself the shame.
That said, let's now focus on tonight's six-game schedule that's highlighted by one heck of a game to stack.
Don't get us wrong, we do love us some March Madness, especially when our day jobs allow us to watch and make money, yet we want to make sure to put a few fresh and crispy bills in your wallet (because we all know it's about “for entertainment purposes only,” right?).
Even with a depleted list of Fantasy star power, Clippers-Nuggets still has potential for those looking to stack on this 9:00 PM Eastern tip. Los Angeles is without both Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, while the Nuggets will be sans Danilo Gallinari, Wilson Chandler and Darrell Arthur. Damn, that's a hell of a lot of production either not making the trip or in street clothes.
The player to watch here is Nuggets rookie guard Jamal Murray, who is seeing increased minutes and a sharp climb in usage rate. Murray ($9,800 at FantasyDraft), comes off a 35.50 Fantasy point outing in Monday's win over the Lakers and could be set for a host of forays to the basket with neither Griffin nor Jordan inside. He's a heck of a bargain play here.
Nikola Jokic ($18,900) is the most expensive center tonight and comes in averaging 45.3 FP in his last five. Expect a major rebound from Chris Paul ($16,300) after the size of the Bucks held him to a season-low six points with six turnovers on Wednesday night. Denver's 27th ranked defense translates into at least a 40 FP night.
Let's look at the rest of the slate:
Jazz at Cavaliers, 7:00 PM (Eastern): This could be a low-scoring affair as Utah leads the league in fewest points allowed per game (96.4). It shouldn't deter you from playing either LeBron James ($18,600) or Kyrie Irving ($14,700), who have put this banged-up Cleveland team on its collective backs. James is averaging 59 FP in his last five and has dialed up his usage rate to 32.1. Irving comes in with a 33.1 UR in the same span while putting up 43 FP a night.
Rudy Gobert is his usual intimidating presence, as the Stifle Tower has six straight games of at least nine boards and and seven double-doubles in his last ten. Gobert ($12,700) can do a lot of damage for a player with a low usage rate. Gordon Hayward ($13,000) is shooting better than 50 percent from the field (56 from three-point range) in his last five and has scored at least 20 points in six of his last seven.
Thunder at Raptors, 7:00 PM: This one's easy. Spot either Russell Westbrook ($23,300) and/or DeMar ReRozan ($15,300) into the lineup and watch the statistical freak show begin.
Westbrook's 76 FPs on Tuesday marked his fifth game of at least 70 FP in his last eight. He's coming to face We the North on a three-game triple-double run and continues a UR stretch (44 per in his last ten) that you couldn't try on NBA2K17.
DeRozan scored 37 points in the previous meeting on November 9. He's been a bit uneven of late and may be showing signs of the heavy load placed on him since the loss of Kyle Lowry. DeRozan is averaging just 32.8 FP over his last five, but the challenge of Westbrook may perk his numbers up.
Nets at Knicks, 7:30 PM: Ugly on paper, yet there is some Fantasy gold to pan here. We're liking Willy Hernangomez tonight, as the rookie has come back from a bit of a slump and has averaged 32.2 FP in his last five. This could be a strong night to play Hernangomez ($12,300), especially if Kristaps Porzingis ($13,600) indeed sits out a second straight game due to a thigh injury. Carmelo Anthony has a combined 85 FP in his last two, both of which saw him eclipse the 40 FP barrier. At $15,000 at FantasyDraft.com, ‘Melo could indeed be that fellow against the Nets' league-worst 114.2 points per game.
Brook Lopez ($12,700) remains a consistent light in an otherwise dim season in Brooklyn. He's racked up four games of at least 35 FP over his last five. Keep an eye on Jeremy Lin ($11,900), who has four 30-plus FP games in his last six.
Hawks at Grizzlies, 7:30 PM: Dennis Schroder ($12,600) has been on fire since being benched in the loss to the Warriors on March 6. Since then, he's averaged 23.5 points and 5.3 assists in his last four. Atlanta has had Memphis' number, winning the last four games between the two; the number could go to five if Schroder can get production from Dwight Howard ($12,000) and Paul Millsap ($13,300), both of whom average a combined 70.6 FP in their last five.
As usual, Mike Conley ($14,000) is quietly carrying his DFS supporters. Conley's averaging 40 FP in his last five, while Marc Gasol ($13,700) is also carrying a wounded Memphis team toward another playoff berth.
Magic at Warriors, 10:30 PM: Golden State would prefer a better outcome than Tuesday's unexpected nail-biter against the 76ers. Steph Curry bailed out the Warriors and continues to carry a high usage rate. Curry costs $17,600 tonight and could be in line for “one of those” games where he puts March Madness on the backburner of the late Sportscenter. Klay Thompson ($13,200) is back in form, while an increased UR has Draymond Green ($14,700) averaging 41.1 FP in his last five.
Elfrid Payton has become Westbrook Lite this month, as he has three triple-doubles in his last five and is averaging 47.8 FP in that span. Run the hot streak and play him at $14,700. Nikola Vucevic ($13,700) has three straight of 40 FP and should match up well against the Warriors. Vucevic has at least nine rebounds in 12 straight games along with seven double-doubles in that stretch.
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