NBA GPP Recap : Len Me Some Cash
NBA GPP Recap : Len Me Some Cash
It's a Thursday, so none of you particularly have anything to be sad about. However, I am greatly saddened, as today will be the last "Basketball 1" class that I attend while studying at the University of Pittsburgh. I've had my fair share of down days in the class. I'm mainly a passer and rebounder - so fantasy points don't really cling to me, especially given the fact that my passes result in 30% shooting from other recreational basketballers (I swear, they aren't bad passes) and that I'm 5'7'', so I top out at about five rebounds.
I know that you'll probably want to quickly scroll below this to check out the top-performers table, but I wanted to give you a heads up, that I'm keeping track of my stats this class. Next week, it won't be James Harden or John Wall, it'll be me.
|PG||John Wall||9Reb, 12Ast, 1Blk, 3Stl, 4TO, 26Pts||62.75||58.8|
|SG||James Harden||42Pts, 7Ast, 2Blk, 9Reb,2Stl, 7TO||70.75||64.3|
|SF||Nic Batum||11Rebs, 10Pts, 11Ast, 1Blk,1Stl, 3TO||47.75||40.7|
|PF||Paul Millsap||20Pts, 11Reb, 5Ast, 3Stl,1Blk,1TO||50.25||47.7|
|C||Alex Len||20Pts, 14Reb, 3Blk, 1Ast, 3TO||45||41.3|
Note: If a player is listed above, this does not mean he was the top scoring player at his position. Also, player positioning may change in the future as positional eligibility varies from FanDuel and DraftKings.
$100K Baller, $1,065 Entry, $20,000 to First Place
Team: John Wall, Ricky Rubio, James Harden, OJ Mayo, Gordon Hayward, Corey Brewer, Jon Leuer, Blake Griffin, Alex Len
$350K Mega Slam, $25 Entry, $40,000 to First Place
Team: John Wall, Brandon Knight, James Harden, Louis Wiliams, Gordon Hayward, Corey Brewer, Jared Sullinger, Jon Leuer, Karl-Anthony Towns
$100K All-Star, $1,060 Entry, $20,000 to First Place
Team: John Wall, James Harden, Corey Brewer, Jon Leuer, Karl-Anthony Towns, Ricky Rubio, Mirza Teletovic, Alex Len
“Mid-to-Low” Priced Paradise
Each week I've been identifying a certain range of salaries that have been exploited on FanDuel in GPPs and have led to top leaderboard finishes. This week, it was a common core of players priced below $5,000 that plastered the leaderboard and were important pieces to winning GPP lineups. Some of the guys below experienced high ownership percentages, but others, crept into only a small percentage of lineups, completely altering the standings.
Slam Ownership %
Len was truly the difference maker in this subset of players. However, the most important thing about rostering players in this price range is achieving value, which all three of these guys did. Using three players around this price range allows you to really bulk up the rest of your team, almost equivalent to a “stars and scrubs” approach, so reaching value is essentially “invaluable.” After safely collecting an above-average allotment of points with this trio all that matters is cashing in on your studs. If you paired these guys with John Wall and James Harden, you did a pretty good job.
James Harden is not a secret anymore. I don't have to plead with you to make you understand that using him most nights is a good thing. Why then, of all the studs, does he consistently seem to go under-owned in tournaments? Below I've included Harden's ownership percentages from the $20-$25 GPPs on DraftKings and FanDuel.
While they won't appear to be astonishingly low, consider that this was on a night without LeBron, Steph Curry, or Anthony Davis. With that massive trio not around, it seems that would only leave one unequivocal top option.
DK Ownership %
FD Ownership %
Only a bout ¼ of all lineups had Harden last night. It seems silly to me, especially in tournaments given his immense upside that he would owned so infrequently. Considering the value that was available, as noted above, it seems like most would not have had a problem fitting him in their lineup, even while rostering him aside John Wall and Blake Griffin.
It's hard to overlook him…he has a huge beard!
I've been using this section to focus on players that have the ability to fill the box score from every possible angle. For the sake of showing you just how valuable he has been, I've decided to leave last week's create-a-player's stats below.
DK Points / Ownership %
FD Points / Ownership %
|John Wall||63.75 / 36.8||57.9 / 32.4%|
|Player||DK Points / Ownership %||FD Points / Ownership %|
|John Wall||62.75 / 43.9%||58.8 / 47.8%|
Two things really stand out to me about Wall and the last two weeks. First off, his ownership data indicates that he probably is not priced where he needs to be. Wall got off to a slow start this year and as a result, fell out of favor with a lot of players, and dragged his salary down or kept it from rising. Therefore, now that he seems to be out of the way of his early season self, Wall is finding consistent ownership. Secondly, look how eerily similar those lines are for Wall. This is what he is capable of on a nightly basis. I applaud you for trying to differentiate in tournaments based on game theory, but where he is priced right now makes it a poor decision to fade Wall (especially considering the slate). Until his salary becomes accurate relative to his performance, there is no use in letting an early season grudge stand between you and money.
I've continued to take a look at the utility usage on DraftKings in tournaments. Tracking this should give you some insight as to what you should be doing with your utility spot in tournaments, as this usage comes from the top 20 lineups that are finishing in the $20 Shootaround on DraftKings.
And we have a tie! After jumping out to an early lead, the PG position has been ever so slightly chased down by C, and is now all tied up. I have no horse in this race, whichever position shall become victorious isn't a cheering matter, but merely something we can learn from. I should again note, this data is coming from the top-20 lineups in a significant GPP. Collecting data from this set frequently should show us, consistent data from sound lineups. I'm aware that the night's slate of games, and the matchups play a large role in determining which position slots in where, but it isn't unimportant that PG and C are the most commonly used. Last night, Alex Len led the charge, even at only 7.7% owned. His owners were rewarded greatly.
Congrats to the winners!
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