AccuScore: NFL Week 13 NFL Lions vs Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears, still looking to get to .500 ball on the season, get set to host the Detroit Li-ons this Sunday at Soldier Field.
Let’s look at where the value is at in this one.
Odds (via FanDuel)
• Detroit Lions: +132
• Chicago Bears: -156
• Detroit Lions +3: -110
• Chicago Bears -3: -110
• Over 44.5: -110
• Under 44.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Betting on the Total: The OVER hits in about 56 percent of simulations, compared to the 52.3% chance the -110 odds indicate. If we look at total combined points allowed between these two sides, it adds up to 52.5 points per game.
Average total combined score in AccuScore sims is 47.7 points.
Defense: Chicago averages just 82.2 yards per game on the ground, but they get set to match up against a defense that gives up over 133 yards per game on the ground. Which unit will per-form to its averages?
For Chicago, David Montgomery is projected to lead the way on the ground with 80 yards on 15 carries. He averages 0.8 TDs per sim.
Weapon: Marvin Jones Jr. has 43 catches for 503 yards and five TDs through 11 games this year. His 43 catches come on 69 targets as he heads into this weekend averaging 45.7 receiving yards per.
Jones is projected to finish with 51 passing yards on 4 catches. He averages 0.5 TDs per sim.
Projected QB Stats
For Detroit, Matthew Stafford is projected to finish with 272 passing yards on 24 completions. He averages 2.1 TDs and 0.6 INTs per sim.
For Chicago, Nick Foles is projected to finish with 313 passing yards on 28 comple-tions. He averages 1.5 TDs and 0.7 INTs per sim.
Lions to cover.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Average margin of victory per sim is Detroit +0.3 points. We’re always interested when odds-makers and AccuScore sim data are on differ-ent sides of the money line. We’ll gladly take the points here.
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