In the outdoors — in the cold — and likely without their head coach — Kevin Stefanski, because of a positive COVID-19 test, the Browns find themselves substantial underdogs against Pittsburgh. Because of those factors, the spread at FanDuel’s Sportsbook moved from -3.5 to -6.5 for the Steelers. There’s been a little bit of buyback now on Cleveland that could drop it back to -5.5. This was a great play when Pittsburgh was at -4.5 because, as expected, the line was too low. These two teams know each other exceptionally well; this is nothing new.
If you take away the game last week on January 3rd, when Cleveland just got by a mostly second-string version of the Steelers, Pittsburgh has absolutely owned this series. The line moving up makes it more challenging than it needs to be when the sweet spot was -4 or -4.5. That’s where the value was there. Now, at -6.5, there’s a reason for concern. There’s a lot of smart money on Cleveland now with that bulky number. The Steelers will win this game, and even though the number is a bit bloated, they should cover. The Browns haven’t taken enough of a step forward. Pittsburgh is the play at home.
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