Best NFL Conference Championships Player Props Bets
Packers WR Davante Adams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Elite receiver + elite quarterback = many catches. Ok, well, maybe it’s not exactly an equation worthy of Good Will Hunting, but it stands quite true. Davante Adams is one of the best wideouts in the league, and Aaron Rodgers is about to win the league’s MVP. A great combination in any situation.
Mr. Adams is coming in fresh off a nine-catch performance, where he caught 90 percent of the passes targeted to him in a high-leverage scenario against the Rams in the divisional round. Adams made it look pretty easy against the league’s best pass defense and has really done it to whoever he wanted, whenever he wanted all season.
The Packers receiver topped the NFL with 8.2 catches per game, but that’s not all. Adams also led the league with over 98 yards per game while catching an NFL-best and career-high 18 touchdown passes. The former Fresno State standout caught three more TDs than any other player and had as many touchdown catches at the number ten and 11 ranked receiver in that category. He comes into this NFC Championship game averaging 8.5 receptions per game over his past five, including two games of double-digit catches. This conference title matchup couldn’t be much better for Adams.
Tampa Bay gave up the second most catches in the NFL, allowing 26.6 per game this season. They are also in the bottom-ten in receiving yards allowed and gave up the fifth-most receptions in the league to WRs.
Conversely, the Buccaneers were the top-team against the run, so it may be in Green Bay’s and Adams’ best interest to get that ball in the air.
The Pick: Over 7.5 receptions (-124)
Bills QB Josh Allen vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Not since Jim Kelly and the Bills of the 90s has there been this much excitement about the team and the quarterback.
Josh Allen has the Bills playing about as good football as anyone in the league right now. Buffalo comes in winners of eight in a row and 11 of their past 12 games. Their QB has been a big reason for their success.
Allen has put up 300-plus passing yard games in four of his past seven games and, even better for our purposes, has thrown, thrown, thrown. The 24-year-old has eight games of 38 or more pass attempts this season and finished sixth in the NFL with 572 pass tries this year, funny enough just one slot behind his opposing quarterback on Sunday, Patrick Mahomes.
The 2018 seventh overall pick is coming off facing a pair of outstanding defenses in these playoffs and didn’t shy from putting the ball in the air. Allen tossed it 35 times against a very good Colts D and followed that up with 37 attempts in the divisional game against Baltimore. The Ravens had the NFL’s sixth-best pass defense in the regular season. Kansas City does not have a secondary to rival those teams.
The Chiefs ranked in the bottom half of the league, allowing the 17th most pass attempts allowed this season. They gave quarterbacks plenty of time to pass as well. KC was 19th with just 32 sacks on the year, and 22nd in quarterback hurries.
Buffalo passes 60.5 percent of the time, right around a top-ten NFL rank, and the trend has even strengthened in the postseason. In the wildcard game against the Colts, the Bills passed in 35 of 56 plays, followed by 37 runs against just 16 rushing plays in their playoff win over the Ravens. Without the existence of a running game and their continued success using this approach, expect the Bills and Josh Allen to continue to let it fly on Sunday.
The Pick: Over 38.5 pass attempts (-118)
Remember to head over to the FanDuel Sportsbook for these and many more player props options in what should be a very entertaining Conference Championship weekend. Positive propping!