Best NFL Divisional Round Player Props Bets
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers has to lead his Packers over the NFL’s top pass defense this weekend. The Rams have been a force all season on the defensive end and will look to continue against the likely NFL MVP. LA has given up a league-best 190 pass yards per game to go along with the fewest points in the NFL at 18.5 points per game. The Rams are also a top-ten team in interceptions and top the league with 53 sacks.
A big thanks for their sack total has to go to Aaron Donald. Donald was second in the league with 13.5 or more than a quarter of the Rams’ entire sack total. The Rams pass-rusher was also tied for third in the league with four forced fumbles and sixth in QB hits with 27 on the year. There’s a reason this guy is a Pro Bowler and likely to win Defensive Player of the Year.
While Rodgers has had an MVP-worthy season, he hasn’t been passing for a ton of yards lately. The Packers’ pivot hasn’t eclipsed 257 yards through the air in his past three games.
Part of the reason has been the Packers’ success in the running game. Green Bay finished eighth in the league with 132 rushing yards per game, mostly on Aaron Jones’s back. Jones ran for 90 or more yards in four of the past six and averaged 115 yards and 16 carries in those games.
While the Rams are nearly as good against the run as they are the pass, they are slightly more susceptible to the ground game. The cold Green Bay air could also motivate the Pack to keep it on the ground in this one.
The Pick: Under 257.5 passing yards (-112)
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes begins his quest for a second-straight Super Bowl against the Browns on Sunday afternoon. Much like Rodgers, Mahomes has had an MVP type season. The Chiefs quarterback finished second in the league with over 4,700 passing yards, fourth with 38 touchdowns against the second-lowest interception total of six picks on the year. Put it all together, and Mahomes was third with a 108.2 QB rating.
The former Texas Tech standout has only faced the Browns once in his career, and to say it was a success would be an understatement. Mahomes dominated Cleveland to the tune of 375 yards through the air in a big blowout win in November 2018. While it was over two years ago, not much has changed with a mediocre Browns defense.
Cleveland ranked 21st allowing nearly 250 pass yards per game this season. The Browns also ranked in the bottom half of the league in completions allowed and opposing completion percentage. Cleveland was 21st in interceptions and around the league average in sacks on the season. They are certainly not the type of defense to strike fear into a player the caliber of Patrick Mahomes.
The Pick: Over 320.5 passing yards (-118)
Remember to head over to the FanDuel Sportsbook for these and many more player props options in what should be a very entertaining wildcard weekend. Happy wagering!