Best NFL Wildcard Round Player Props Bets
We’re rolling into the postseason on a two-week undefeated streak after Aaron Rodgers and Robert Woods hit their recommended under in Week 17.
Colts QB Philip Rivers
Philip Rivers leads the Colts into the playoffs following another solid season to add to his resume. In his first season in Indianapolis, Rivers put up the 12th 4,000-yard campaign of his storied career. Indy had anything but a high-flying group of pass-catchers, but as he is known to do, the gritty quarterback was able to put up another big year.
Some factors working against the veteran QB going into Buffalo have become very apparent. Tops could be the emergence of Jonathan Taylor. The rookie running back comes in as the undoubted lead back in what’s turning into a run-first offense. Taylor comes into this one following an exclamation point of a finale in a fantastic freshman season. The Colts RB put up a career-best 253 yards on the ground on a career-high 30 carries in a must-win game against the Jaguars last week. Taylor is averaging 20 carries per game over the past six after routinely putting up low-carry games in the single-digits and teens. It may be in Indy’s best interest to try to grind down the clock with Taylor to try to keep Josh Allen and the Bills high-octane off the field.
With the increase of usage on the ground came a decrease in the passing game. Rivers has gone over 245 yards just once in his past four and has only three 300 yard games all season long. The last time Rivers faced the Bills was in the 2018 season with the Chargers. While the vet played well, he couldn’t crack the number putting up 256 yards through the air.
The Bills’ pass defense has been very solid this year and find themselves in the top-third in passing yards allowed giving up just 232 per game. Buffalo’s secondary is dangerous and has gotten better and healthier as the season has gone on.
Another factor could be the weather. Rivers is a 39-year-old quarterback about to play in 30-degree weather in Buffalo. This is a guy used to playing in a dome and against the sunny AFC South. Places like Houston, Tennessee, and Jacksonville do not get you ready for a winter day in upstate New York. Don’t forget this is a guy used to playing in sunny California, having spent his entire career before this season with the Chargers.
The Pick: Under 263.5 passing yards (-112)
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson will have the opportunity to lift the cloud of sinlessness in the NFL’s postseason this weekend against a team he knows very well. The Titans, of course, upset Jackson and the Ravens in last year’s playoffs. Tennesse also beat Baltimore in a regular-season meeting in 2020. So Jackson not only has getting his first playoff win as a motivator but also to get revenge against a team that has had his number lately.
The Ravens quarterback was able to run for 51 yards against Tennesse in Baltimore’s Week 11 loss, although the number was well below his 67 yards per game average that comes on 6.3 yards per carry. But don’t forget Jackson ran all over the Titans in last year’s playoff game. The 24-year-old who celebrated his birthday this week put up a ridiculous 143 yards on the ground on 20 attempts against Tennessee in the postseason meeting.
This year’s Titans run defense is no better. Tennesse gave up over 120 yards per game this year, the second-worst mark among 2021’s playoff teams.
On a cold day in Nashville where the lows will be in the 30s, expect the Ravens to keep the ball on the ground and wear down Tennessee’s below-average defense. In his past five games of the season, Jackson averaged 86 rushing yards per game and had a 124-yard game during that span. There is no reason to think Lamar can’t keep his hot running streak going against the Titans on Sunday.
The Pick: Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)
Remember to head over to the FanDuel Sportsbook for these and many more player props options in what should be a very entertaining wildcard weekend. Happy wagering!