Best Week 15 NFL Player Props Bets
Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire
The marquee matchup of the week goes down in New Orleans when the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs visit the Saints on Sunday. In what could be a preview of this season’s Super Bowl, KC will be put to the test against an elite defense.
The Saints are an excellent defensive team all-around, allowing under 300 yards per game this season for a No. 2 NFL rank. The normally unstoppable attack of Kansas City will really be put to the test, especially their rookie running back.
Coming into Week 1, Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the second-biggest favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. Sure, the NFL freshman has been surpassed by Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson and Dolphins pivot Tua Tagovailoa, but he’s still in the midst of a solid first season. Edwards-Helaire leads the Chiefs with 724 yards on the ground but faces possibly his stiffest test of the year in the Saints.
New Orleans has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards this season, giving up just 89.2 yards per game. The Saints are also allowing the second-best per carry rate of only 3.7 per. Add to that they are allowing the league-low in rushing first downs as well as runs of ten yards or longer, and New Orleans can boast a front seven any Hall of Fame running back would not relish facing.
Edwards-Helaire is also coming into New Orleans behind a banged-up offensive line. Center Austin Reiter comes in with a gimpy knee and will be limited while starting tackles Mike Remmers and Eric Fisher are both nursing ailing backs. Remmers is not expected to suit up for this one.
The Chiefs’ back may have run into a bit of the dreaded rookie wall of late. After putting up two 100-yard games in his first six, the first-year player hasn’t come close to the century mark since. In fact, Edwards-Helaire has only gone over 40 yards once in his past five. In those four dud games, the former LSU product is running at just a 2.9 yard per carry clip.
Kansas City may look to go with a closer share in the backfield, giving more looks to Le’Veon Bell. The former Steeler’s 11 touches two weeks ago against Denver were the most he’s had in a game since becoming a Chief in October.
The Pick: Under 40.5 rushing yards (-112)
Redskins WR Terry McLaurin
You might think this is a typo at first glance since Alex Smith will not be behind center for Washington this week, but the numbers are there to back it up.
Terry McLaurin may be a handful of players that can say he’d rather have Dwayne Haskins Jr. throwing him the ball over Smith. In fact, McLaurin has had the biggest game of his career and best game of the season with Haskins at the helm. In Week 2 against the Cardinals, the second-year man caught seven of ten balls for a season-high 125 yards and a touchdown. Two weeks later, against Baltimore, McLaurin caught a career-high ten passes on a career-high 14 targets for 118 yards. This coming against a pair of pass defenses in the top half of the league.
The Seahawks would kill to be considered a better than 16th pass defense. Seattle’s giving up a league-high 294.8 pass yards per game and a league-worst 28 catches per game. They are by far the worst team defending wide receivers. The Seahawks have given up over 200 more yards and 29 more catches to WRs than any other team this year.
Most of those terrible defensive numbers have come against a healthy Seahawks secondary, and right now, they are far from healthy. Safety Damarious Randall and cornerback Jason Stanley are questionable while CB Ryan Neal will play with a hip issue and Jamal Adams, who’s nursing a shoulder problem, is expected to suit up. Defensive end Carlos Dunlap is a game-time decision; if he can’t go, the pass rush will be greatly affected.
A change of QB could be just what the doctor ordered for McLaurin. The sophomore wideout has no 100-yard games with Smith, averaging just 61 yards a game, including performances of 14 and 24 yards in his last two starts without Haskins.
The Pick: Over 68.5 receiving yards (-112)