Best Week 17 NFL Player Props Bets
After a perfect 2-0 Week 16 where Travis Kelce and Jalen Hurts both hit their recommended overs let’s finish off the NFL season in style with another pair of positive player prop picks.
Rams WR Robert Woods
It could be a very long day for not only Robert Woods but the entire Rams receiving core. No one is expecting much from John Wolford, who will take his first NFL snap on Sunday against the Cardinals. LA signed the undrafted Wake Forest product in the summer of 2019 as the third quarterback behind Jared Goff and Blake Bortles. Now Bortles will back up Wolford, although it seems as if the veteran could see some action if the rookie struggles in this crucial game for the Rams.
LA still controls their own destiny and can get in on a win or tie with Arizona or a Bears tie or loss to the Packers. It’s hard to imagine head coach Sean McVay and the already run happy Rams leave their postseason hopes in the hands of their untested rookie QB. It doesn’t look like a pass-heavy offense is on tap as FanDuel’s Sportsbook has Wolford’s passing yards props at just 189.5 yards. Can Robert Woods really pull down almost 30 percent of those yards?
Let’s not forget LA is a run-first team. The Rams are a top-ten team putting up 127 yards on the ground per game. They average almost 30 attempts each week, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. LA runs the ball for nearly 44 percent of their plays, which also lands them a top-ten ranking. With rookie running back Cam Akers expected to return, the Rams rushing offense will get a shot in the arm or leg as it were, giving further reasoning to commit to the ground game.
In the air, Woods hasn’t really been the model of consistency this year, often going boom or bust week-to-week for the Rams. The veteran receiver has just one game over 50 yards in his past three and has gone under the century mark in seven contests this season. A big performance won’t be easy against a tough Cardinals defense either.
Arizona is a top-ten defense against the pass allowing just 226 yards per game in the air. The Cardinals also rank sixth in net yards per attempt giving up just 5.9 each QB drop back. A big reason for the success is the play of Arizona’s defensive line. The Cards are fourth in the league with 46 sacks and 154 QB pressures and in the top-ten in quarterback hurries.
All bad news for a rookie quarterback taking his first snap as well as his number one option in Robert Woods.
The Pick: Under 50.5 rushing yards (-112)
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers
There are very few teams that Aaron Rodgers doesn’t absolutely carve to pieces, but the Bears may put themselves on that very shortlist.
Chicago has played Rodgers very well lately and quite solidly throughout his career. When the two teams hooked about a month ago, the Bears secondary was able to hold the Packers pivot to just 211 yards. This coming just a year after Chicago held him to exactly 203 in each of their two meetings last season. The Bears were also able to stick Rodgers with just an 84.5 QB rating in their 2019 season-series.
This success isn’t exactly new as the Bears have held Rodgers somewhat in check over his career, allowing an average of just 240 yards per game in 24 regular-season meetings. That’s the lowest total against any team Rodgers has met more than five times in his career. A big reason has to be Chicago’s ability to pressure the future Hall of Famer. The Bears have 47 sacks against Rodgers, the second-highest of any team throughout his NFL career.
Chicago’s defense has been solid in 2020 as well. The Bears boast a pass defense just outside the top-ten allowing 231 yards a week, and also find themselves in the top-ten giving up 331 completions this year. The midway monsters are ninth in points allowed and 11th in total yardage given up.
Rodgers and the Pack could very well find themselves scoreboard watching on Sunday. Green Bay can clinch the NFC’s top-seed with a win but also with a Seattle loss. Granted, the Seahawks play at the same time, but nothing says if they are down big at the half, the Packers rest Rodgers for the remainder of the game. Even if Green Bay’s QB misses the last few series as the Packers see Seattle down enough in the fourth, that could be the difference between an over or an under.
The Pick: Under 294.5 passing yards (-112)