The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans matchup this Saturday in an AFC Wild Card game at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. This will be the first time these teams meet in the postseason.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
- Buffalo Bills: +130
- Houston Texans: -150
- Buffalo Bills +2.5: +100
- Houston Texans -2.5: -120
- Over 43.5: -110
- Under 43.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Close Call: Just as the Bills have been on the right side of close games this year, so have the Texans. They had 11 of their 16 regular season games decided by 7 points or fewer, and they were 8-3 in those 11 games.
Important stat here to keep in mind. Spread is at 2.5 points, game will more than likely be decided by 7 points or fewer. Texans ML is a safe pick there without a doubt.
Struggles: Houston’s biggest weakness this year has been stopping the run. They are No. 25 in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, going up against a unit that’s No. 8 in rushing yards per game. This is the biggest potential for Buffalo to steal this one – on the ground.
Just Win: Buffalo is coming off their first 10-win season since back in 1999 with Doug Flutie. Thanks to a consistent defense and an offense with potential, they just found ways to win close games this year.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up last season when Houston won at home, 20-13.
For the Bills, Josh Allen is projected to finish with 191 passing yards on 15 completions, and 46 rushing yards on 8 carries. He averages 1.7 TDs and 0.8 INTs per sim.
For the Texans, Deshaun Watson is projected to finish with 209 passing yards on 18 completions, and 54 rushing yards on 7 carries. He averages 2.3 TDs and 0.8 INTs per sim.
Houston to cover.
Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average margin of victory per sim is Houston +6 points. Average/final score n sims is 27-21, in favor of the Texans.
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