Chiefs Favored by too many Points vs. Browns?
The Browns are the biggest dog of the weekend, and rightfully so. This Chiefs team has had so much success off the bye and can go out there and win this game by 14 touchdowns, and they are still the worst bet of the week! How can you come out and lay ten points with this year’s version of Kansas City? If you’re laying KC -10, you’re going off 2019 and 2018 analytics. You’re not going off 2020 analytics because this year’s version of the Kansas City Chiefs is not outperforming the betting market. In fact, when they’ve been double-digit favorites, they’ve lost your money.
On the flip side, how many times this year has Cleveland been a double-digit dog? I’ll wait….. zero. How many times have they been getting more than seven points? Zero. Now you’re giving a team, who just beat the Pittsburgh Steelers without their coach, with all these players on the COVID list, they’re getting all that back. The Browns are essentially a freeroll now against Kansas city, and you’re giving me 10 points, and wait, Kansas City’s just going to flip the switch, right? Because they could just do that, like any time they’re going just to flip that switch and put up 15 touchdowns. I don’t know. They did that in the past. We saw it last year with Houston in the playoffs, but I haven’t seen it from the 2020 version. They’ve got to prove they can still go and do that. Until you do that — you’re the worst bet on Sunday — laying double-digits. It makes no sense as Cleveland is the play.
On the total, the over at 56 looks good. Cleveland doesn’t play defense, but they can sure as hell score points, and we know Kansas City can too. It’s square, but the bet is over 56, and take the ten points with the Browns as a big dog this weekend.