Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview for NFL Football Game
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Game Info
Cleveland Browns (12-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Date: Sunday, January 17th, 2021
Time: 3:05 p.m. EST
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: Browns (+385) | Chiefs (-500)
Spread: Browns +10 (-118) | Chiefs)
Total: Over 57 (-110) | Under 57 (-110)
Super Bowl Odds: Browns (+3000) | Chiefs (+200)
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Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs News and Notes
- T Jack Conklin (hamstring/knee) – QUESTIONABLE
- LB B.J. Goodson (shoulder) – QUESTIONABLE
- TE David Njoku (hamstring) – QUESTIONABLE
- TE Stephen Carlson (groin) – QUESTIONABLE
Conklin and Goodson are the names to keep an eye on here. They are regular starters and contribute a fair amount to their positions as their availability will be key on both sides of the ball in the contest. Keep an eye on their statuses as kickoff approaches.
- CB Rashad Fenton (foot/ankle) – QUESTIONABLE
- LB Willie Gay (ankle) – OUT
- WR Sammy Watkins (calf) – OUT
- RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle/hip) – QUESTIONABLE
- TE Deon Yelder (groin) – QUESTIONABLE
Both Fenton and Gay’s presence would be helpful for the defense as regular contributors, but all eyes will be on the status of Edwards-Helaire for Sunday. The starting running back will try to play through an ankle and hip injury, but Le’Veon Bell will take the load for the weekend’s matchup if unable to do so. The status of Watkins is another one to keep an eye on as a rotational receiving option for Mahomes in the passing game with 37 receptions on the season.
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions and Picks
The line currently favors the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs as they are steep 10-point favorites at a -104 price. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to sling it as they usually do as the team who ranks fifth in yards per pass attempt in the NFL with 7.7. The Browns have patented a strong ground and pound offensive attack as the tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in the backfield create the production. Cleveland will look to continue their rush dominance as they are seventh in the NFL in yards per rush attempt on the season with 4.8.
It’s hard to side with the Browns as a +385 underdog on the moneyline, but their ability to finish off drives as well as run out the first quarter the rest of the game was impressive against the Steelers. If there is one way to beat Mahomes, keeping him off of the field may be the formula, and the competent running game of the Browns can do so with some success. Laying more than a touchdown in the playoffs is a tough ask, and it’s hard to do so here and expect the Chiefs to walk all over an impressive run game with an average defense. Take the points with the Browns here.
The Pick: Browns +10
The total sits at 57 with no juice to either side and is quite high as it sits nearly nine points higher than the league average. Surprisingly, in games with totals in the 50s, the Browns are 4-1 to the over. When the Browns cover as we expect them to do, the over is 5-2.
Both offenses have found success this season and boast average defenses at best. The Kansas City offense sits second on the season in yards per play, just behind the Texans at 6.3, while Cleveland is at 11th with 5.8 yards per play. With two offenses that are meeting at a time that they are both operating at a high clip, don’t let the number scare you off and take the over in this spot.
With the aforementioned Edwards-Helaire being listed as questionable, this may be one of the simpler props we have rolled out for a game this season. Take CEH’s backup, Le’Veon Bell, to find paydirt on Sunday as a guy who will be the beneficiary of a potential missing Edwards-Helaire. He currently sits at +160 as an anytime touchdown scorer and will surely see a good amount of reps as the top back in the lineup.
Nick Chubb found a great balance of success against the Steelers in the wild card round as he combined for 145 yards in their victory last weekend. Expect more of the same from Chubb against a Kansas City defense that ranks 18th in yards per rush attempt and 17th in yards per pass attempt. He has been a key in getting the Browns this far in the season and will be looked towards by both head coach Kevin Stefanski and quarterback Baker Mayfield as an engine to the offense and a key to victory. Take the over on Chubb’s 87.5 rushing and receiving yards.
The Picks: Le’Veon Bell anytime TD scorer (+160), Nick Chubb o87.5 rushing and receiving yards (-112)