Week 12 in the NFL kicks off Thursday at NRG Stadium in Houston as the Texans get set to host the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts come into this one following a 33-14 win over Jacksonville while Houston looks to bounce back after a 41-7 loss vs Baltimore.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
- Indianapolis Colts: +150
- Houston Texans: -174
- Indianapolis Colts +3,5: -110
- Houston Texans -3.5: -110
- Over 44.5: -120
- Under 44.5: +100
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides have already matched up once this season, with Indianapolis winning the Oct. 20 matchup, 30-23, at home.
No Mack: It will be interesting to see how the Colts manage without RB Marlon Mack who left last week’s game with a broken hand. He had surgery earlier this week and is out indefinitely. Last week he has 1 TD and 109 rushing yards on 14 carries. Jonathan Williams will be much more heavily relied upon in Mack’s absence.
Close Call: It’s almost always a guarantee the game will be close if the Texans are involved. Six of their eight games this season have been decided by 7 points or less, with Houston having a 3-3 record in those games.
Rushing Attack vs Run Defense: The Colts have an above-average offensive line and that gives them an advantage on the ground — even without Mack in the lineup. The Ravens had a field day on the ground last week as Houston’s front seven has plenty of room for improvement.
For the Colts, Jacoby Brissett is projected to finish with 269 passing yards on 21 completions. He averages 2 TDs and 0.9 INTs per sim.
For the Texans, DeShaun Watson is projected to finish with 219 passing yards on 16 completions, and 53 rushing yards on 7 carries. He averages 2.1 TDs and 0.9 INTs per sim.
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average combined score in sims is 47.2 points.
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