We’ve got two division leaders clashing at Foxborough this Sunday as the New England Patriots host the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams enter this week’s matchup following a win their last time out. New England has won their last five matchups vs Dallas.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
- Dallas Cowboys: +215
- New England Patriots: -250
- Dallas Cowboys +6: -115
- New England Patriots -6: -105
- Over 44.5: -110
- Under 44.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Go Dak: Dak Prescott led the Cowboys in their win last week over Detroit, scoring a pair of TDs in the last five minutes of the first half to turn a four-point deficit into a ten-point lead. He finished with 444 yards for the game.
Winning with Defense: New England went down early last week vs Philly, looking at a 10-0 deficit in the first half. The defense responded, though, with five sacks and a fumble recovery to help turn things around. The defense went on to hold the Eagles to just 3-of-13 on third-down conversions.
Rushing Attack vs Run Defense: How successful Dallas is in running the ball will be a huge x-factor in this one. New England has allowed just four teams to go over 100 yards on the ground. Baltimore definitely ran circles around them, but most others have struggled. Dallas is No. 7 in the league in yards per carry, while the Patriots are No. 24 in the league in opposing yards per carry.
For Dallas, Dak Prescott is projected to finish with 270 passing yards on 22 completions and 15 rushing yards on 3 carries. He averages 2 TDs and 0.9 INTs per sim.
For New England, Tom Brady is projected to finish with 291 passing yards on 23 completions. He averages 2 TDs and 0.3 INTs per sim.
Patriots to cover.
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average margin of victory per sim is New England +10 points.
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