Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks, and Betting Preview
Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Game Information
Indianapolis Colts (11-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 2021
Time: 1:05pm EST
Venue: Bills Stadium at Orchard Park, Buffalo, New York
Coverage: CBS Network
Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Money Line, Spread, Total, Odds
Money Line: Colts +265 | Bills -330
Spread: Colts +7 (-118) | Bills -7 (-104)
Total: Over 51.5 (-118) | Under 51.5 (-104)
Super Bowl Odds: Colts +4100 | Bills +750
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills News and Notes
Quarterback Josh Allen has played himself into a fringe MVP candidate, as he has created plays with his scrambling and cannon for an arm, but that’s only half the story: the entire Bills team is firing on all cylinders going into the playoffs. Stefon Diggs, John Brown, Dawson Knox, and Cole Beasley all have played at seemingly at extra gear playing with their hair on fire catching passes from Allen. The Bills also have had a complementary between the tackles run game led by Devin Singletary and rookie Zack Moss.
The Colts are the polar opposite of the Bills stylistically, but still extremely dangerous in their own way: they are led by a top-shelf offensive line, supporting a brutally efficient run game with rookie Jonathan Taylor at the helm and Nyheim Hines catching passes out of the backfield. Quarterback Phil Rivers still is trotting out on Sundays, slinging side-arm balls to receivers T.Y. Hilton and Michael Pittman, but the run game is the key here.
On defense, for the Bills, Tre’Davius White is at an All-Pro at cornerback, linebackers Matt Milano and Tremaine Edmunds have been rock solid, and safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer have provided stability in the secondary, providing time for their front-7 to get home to opposing quarterback. Even their run defense, initially the team’s weakness, has rebounded and is solidly within the top half of the league: defensive linemen AJ Epenesa, Ed Oliver, and Mario Addison should bottle up the Indianapolis run game.
The Colts defense is a collection of older, established veterans (a resurgent Xavier Rhodes, Justin Houston) and young, ascendant stars (Darius Leonard, DeForest Buckner, Bobby Okereke). Defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus has had the team playing at an elite level and is having his name mentioned for possible head coaching openings this coming year. The team should be able to get after Josh Allen and have Rhodes blanket Stefon Diggs as well to try to contain this Bills offense.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction and Picks
The strongest play here in the under 51.5. While playing under bets this year has been largely a fool’s errand, the fact remains that both teams have some of the strongest defenses in the league, and stylistically, the Colts chew up clock with their ball-control offense built on Taylor’s rushing prowess. The Bills are lined to win by seven, so there is also a chance that the Bills will get up and take the air out of the ball in the fourth quarter to limit mistakes. There is also some likely built in recency bias with the Bills scoring 56 points on the Dolphins in Week 17. On the side, it just feels like Bills -7 is the play. I just don’t see how the Colts can catch up with the Bills if they’re clicking, offensively and the Colts aren’t built to score 35+ points a game to keep up. It just feels like the Bills’ year.