Is there a Clear Bet in the Buccaneers-Washington Game?
In this Buccaneers-Washington matchup, the sharper angles this week have come on one team, especially as a home dog. That’s one of those trends coming into playoff weekend. Tampa Bay is laying a pretty significant number on the road against an outstanding defense. The Bucs have struggled this year against good defenses. It has not ended well for Tom Brady against the Rams or the Saints. This Washington defense is playing very well too. We know when it comes to NFL, if you pick the winner, you’re going to cash it out eight times out of ten. Don’t worry about the spread because it’s even a little higher than that in the playoffs.
The favorite either blows the dog out or the dog wins outright. In the Wild Card Round, that ratio is the highest, meaning 88% of the time, almost nine out of 10 times, the spread becomes irrelevant. You bet the favorite; they blow the team out. You bet the underdog; they win outright. You don’t need the points, but it doesn’t look like the trend will continue here. That’s the dilemma.
You are now seeing this total drop, suggesting it will be a lower scoring game, which means each point matters more. It looks like a perfect setup to tease the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to where they just have to win the game more or less. Otherwise, it feels like they’ve been given too many points. It can be a dangerous play, but Tampa on a teaser and Washington plus the points could be a very fruitful return. No risk, no reward, right? Washington getting eight or nine points looks like a good bet, and Tampa Bay -1.5 looks like a good bet too.