Opening week in the NFL continues Sunday as the Buffalo Bills hit the road for a matchup with the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
More Odds in SportsGrid’s NFL Odds Tool
Buffalo Bills: +128
New York Jets: -148
Buffalo Bills +2.5: +100
New York Jets -2.5: -120
Over 40.5: -110
Under 40.5: -110
What to Watch For
Buffalo Bills fans are excited for this season partly because of their offensive line. Can’t really get worse than what it was last season. The majority of the o-line are new additions from free agency and draft picks. While chemistry might be an issue early on, overall production is projected to be much greater than recent seasons.
LeVeon Bell took all of last season off and every fan, coach and player alike are wondering what that sort of a break does to what was one of the best backs in the league. He’ll be heavily relied upon by Sam Darnold, and we wouldn’t be surprised if he got 20+ touches once back in rhythm.
Bell is projected to finish with 82 yards on 17 carries according to sims. He averages 0.8 TDs per sim.
The Bills have 23 new players to start this season on a 53-man roster. Chemistry in the first few weeks of the season could definitely be a point of concern.
In the last 8 matchups between these two teams, the underdog in 7-1 against the spread (ATS).
The rounded projected score in simulations is 25-22, in favor of New York.
Josh Allen is projected to finish with 195 passing yards on 17-to-18 attempts. He averages 1.7 TDs and 1.5 INTs per sim.
Sam Darnold is projected to finish with 186 passing yards on 16-to-17 attempts. He averages 1.5 TDs and 1.2 INTs per sim.
Odds indicate there’s a 52 percent chance the total combined score gets to at least 41 points. That happens in 63 percent of simulations. Average combined score in sims is 56.2 points. Four-star (out of four) hot-trend pick.
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