Week 5 kicks off in the Pacific Northwest as the as Jared Goff and the Los Angeles Rams head to CenturyLink Field for a matchup with the Seattle Seahawks.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Los Angeles Rams: +106
Seattle Seahawks: -122
Los Angeles Rams +1.5: -110
Seattle Seahawks -1.5: -110
Over 49.5: -110
Under 49.5: -110
What to Watch For
We’ll keep an eye on how the Rams defense bounces back from a horrible performance at home vs Tampa Bay last week. Rams held an advantage in total offense, but their defense had no answers for the Buccaneers’ schemes.
The Seahawks defense comes into this week riding some momentum from their performance vs Arizona last week. They finished with one interception, four sack and five QB hits.
The Seahawks are currently No. 1 in the league in red zone efficiency as they have scored TDs in 76+ percent of their drives that have gotten to the 20-yard mark of their opponent. The Rams are No. 10 in the league in that category, cashing in on 64 percent of drives that get to that same mark on the field.
The lean on the Rams to win this one just might be on the fact that their pass rush, led by Aaron Donald, should have an impact on Russell Wilson. Seattle’s offensive line has given up four sacks or more in three of the last four weeks.
Jared Goff is projected to finish with 263 passing yards on 22 completions. He averages 2.2 TDs and 0.5 INTs per sim.
Russell Wilson is projected to finish with 262 passing yards on 20 completions, along with 27 rushing yards on four carries. He averages 2.1 TDs and 0.6 INTs per sim.
Rams to win.
We’re always interested when odds-makers and simulation data are on opposite sides of the money line. Whereas the Seahawks are slight home favorites, the Rams win close to 57 percent of simulations. Average rounded score after 10,000-plus simulations is 28-26, in favor of L.A.