The Oakland Raiders continue to look at the AFC playoff picture from their outside as they take 6-5 record into Arrowhead Stadium this Sunday night for a matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs. A win on the road, though, could change everything.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
- Oakland Raiders: +390
- Kansas City Chiefs: -490
- Oakland Raiders +9.5: -105
- Kansas City Chiefs -9.5: -115
- Over 51: -105
- Under 51: -115
Key Points to Consider
Bounce Back: Oakland saw a season-high three-game winning streak come to an end last week as they fell way short, 34-3, vs the New York Jets. Oakland QB Derek Carr had just 127 yards and an INT as the Raiders put up just three points, zero of which came in the final three quarters.
Some Rest: Kansas City comes into this one off a bye week, and the timing couldn’t have been more opportune. They had a chance to give Tyreke Hill, Damiel Wilson and Jordan Wilson some added days of rest after they all went off the field early on MNF two weeks back.
Big Play Probability: The Raiders’ defense has given up 55 plays of 20 yards or more this season, worst — or best — in the league, whichever way you look at it. That’s not a good stat to own against a QB like Patrick Mahomes.
Betting on the Spread: Oakland has lost its last nine games when playing in sub-50 degree weather. That’s exactly the forecast at Arrowhead this Sunday.
For Oakland, Derek Carr is projected to finish with 295 passing yards on 23 completions. He averages 2 TDs and 1.2 INTs per sim.
For Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes averages 302 passing yards on 22 completions. He averages 3 TDs and 0.2 INTs per sim.
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average total score in sims is 54.9 points.
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