Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks, and Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Game Info
Buccaneers (11-5) vs. Saints (12-4)
Date: Sunday, January 17, 2021
Time: 6:40 p.m. EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: Buccaneers +142 | Saints -168
Spread: Buccaneers +3 (-105) | Saints -3 (-115)
Total: Over 52 (-110) | Under 52 (-110)
Super Bowl Odds: Buccaneers (+900) | Saints (+550)
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints News and Notes
The New Orleans Saints have had their way with Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season. The NFC South rivals played twice this season, with the Saints coming out on top, rather handily. In fact, New Orleans is the only team to have beaten Tom Brady twice in the same season.
First, New Orleans spoiled Brady’s Bucs debut taking out Tampa 34-23 in the Superdome. The Saints picked off Brady twice in that game, including one returned for a touchdown. New Orleans was in control the entire game.
Tom Terrific would have to wait nearly two months until Week 9 for a shot at redemption. Instead of redemption, Brady found the worst loss of his career, throwing three picks for a QB rating of 40 in a 38-3 beatdown.
Paraphrasing the old saying, Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me; fool me three times, not gonna happen.
It’s hard to imagine Tom Brady has three stinkers against the same team inside of four months. The GOAT played some of his best football of the year following the second loss to the Saints putting up six 300-plus yard games in his last eight, including that playoff win in Washington last week. Brady averaged 367 yards per game in those six games, while the Bucs have won six of eight and come in on a five-game win streak. The third highest-scoring team in the league is averaging 34 points a game since the Saints Week 9 loss.
New Orleans is no slouch on the offensive end themselves. Powered by Drew Brees, Michael Thomas, and Alvin Kamara, the Saints are the fifth-highest scoring team in the NFL, averaging just over 30 points per game. New Orleans also boasts the league’s sixth-best rushing attack putting up 141 yards on the ground per game. While their offense is potent, their bread or beignets in the Big Easy are really buttered by the defense.
The Saints are fifth against the pass allowing just 217 yards through the air a week, which nicely counters the Bucs fourth-ranked passing offense, throwing nearly 300 yards per game. New Orleans also kept teams off the scoresheet allowing the fifth-fewest points in the league at 21.2 per game. Brady lived this himself, averaging just 224 pass yards while throwing five picks against only two touchdowns in their two-game meeting this season. In fact, the Saints accounted for nearly half of Brady’s 12 interceptions this season and held Tampa Bay to just 13 points a game this year.
But the Bucs are no stranger to defense either and counter the Saints’ biggest strength best. Tampa had the league’s top defense against the run leading the league in rush yards against with 80, attempts at 22 per game, and yards per carry at a 3.6 per attempt clip. They were also right behind New Orleans in points allowed giving up 22.2 per game for a number eight league ranking.
The Saints rushing attack comes in a little bit hobbled as Latavius Murray was limited at practice this week with a quad issue and is questionable to suit up Sunday. Change of pace QB Taysom Hill, prominent in the New Orleans run game this year, is also banged up. Hill did not practice fully this week and is also questionable with a knee injury.
On the Bucs side, Ronald Jones will be a game-time decision while nursing finger and calf injuries, although Leonard Fournette will start regardless. Top receivers Mike Evans (knee) and Chris Godwin (hip/quad) are banged up but should play on Sunday.
Brees and Brady are the two most productive passers in NFL history, and when they meet on Sunday will be the oldest QB pair going head-to-head in NFL history. Brady is 43, while Brees just turned 42 on Friday. Brees’ team has won five of the eight career match-ups, and this will be the first time the two have met in the playoffs. Sunday may be the last time these two future Hall of Famers ever face each other if Drew retires after this season, so drink it in this weekend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions and Picks
- Buccaneers cover +3 (-105)
- Buccaneers win outright (+142)
- Under 52 total points scored (-110)
- Mike Evans scores a touchdown (+165)