NFL · 1 hour ago

ESPN Ranks the Top 16 NFL Teams Best Chance to Win the Superbowl

John Canady

Host · Writer

16) Denver Broncos
Denver's outlook has changed dramatically thanks to the development of Bo Nix. The young quarterback helped stabilize the offense and gave the Broncos reason to believe they're headed in the right direction. With a defense that remains one of the team's strengths, Denver has become a legitimate playoff contender. Another year of growth could put the Broncos firmly in the AFC conversation.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 2.6%
1) Los Angeles Rams
The Rams made one of the biggest statements of the offseason by adding Myles Garrett to a defense that was already trending upward. Pairing one of the NFL's premier pass rushers with an offense led by Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua gives Los Angeles legitimate balance on both sides of the ball. The Rams have experience, star power, and a roster built to handle the grind of a postseason run. It's easy to see why many view them as the team to beat entering the season.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 14.9%
2) Buffalo Bills
Buffalo remains firmly in the championship conversation as long as Josh Allen is under center. The Bills have consistently been one of the AFC's toughest outs, and their offense can overwhelm opponents when it gets rolling. The challenge is finally breaking through in the postseason and turning years of contention into a Lombardi Trophy.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 10.7%
3) Baltimore Ravens
Few teams boast a ceiling as high as Baltimore's entering the season. Lamar Jackson continues to play at an MVP level, and the presence of Derrick Henry gives the Ravens a physical identity that wears defenses down. If Baltimore can stay healthy, it has the talent to go toe-to-toe with anyone in the NFL.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 9.4%
4) Seattle Seahawks
Seattle enters the 2026 season as the reigning Super Bowl champions with a lot to prove. Sam Darnold enters the season with plenty to prove, but he'll have no shortage of weapons around him. The Seahawks have assembled a roster with few glaring weaknesses, making them one of the more intriguing teams in the NFC. If the offense finds consistency, Seattle could exceed expectations in a hurry.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 7.0%
5) San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers remain a threat because their foundation is still among the strongest in football. Brock Purdy has proven he can operate the offense at a high level, while stars like Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Nick Bosa give San Francisco impact players at every level. Questions remain after an eventful offseason, but the talent on the roster is difficult to ignore. Few teams can match the 49ers when they're playing their best football.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 6.8%
6) Detroit Lions
Detroit has spent the last few years transforming from an up-and-coming team into a legitimate contender. Jared Goff continues to thrive in offensive coordinator John Morton's system, while Amon-Ra St. Brown remains one of the league's most reliable targets. The Lions have built a physical identity that travels well in January. After coming close in recent seasons, expectations are once again sky high in Detroit.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 5.2%
7) Kansas City Chiefs
Until proven otherwise, it's hard to count out a team led by Patrick Mahomes. Kansas City has become the standard in the AFC thanks to its ability to navigate adversity and elevate its play when the stakes are highest. The roster may look different from previous championship teams, but the Chiefs continue to find ways to stay in the mix. As long as Mahomes is healthy, they're a threat to win it all.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 4.9%
8) Green Bay Packers
The Packers have quietly assembled one of the NFL's most promising young cores. Jordan Love has shown flashes of becoming a franchise quarterback, and Green Bay's offense is loaded with emerging playmakers. The next step is translating potential into postseason success. If that happens, the Packers could become one of the NFC's toughest outs.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 4.7%
9) Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers appear to be trending in the right direction under head coach Jim Harbaugh. Justin Herbert remains one of the league's most talented quarterbacks, and the roster has been built to complement his strengths rather than rely entirely on him. Los Angeles played a more disciplined brand of football last season, something that should pay dividends moving forward. The talent is there for a deep playoff push.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 4.4%
10) Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia continues to be built around one of the NFL's most complete rosters. Jalen Hurts provides stability at quarterback, while Saquon Barkley gives the offense another game-changing dimension. The Eagles have consistently remained among the NFC's elite thanks to their physical style and depth across the roster. Another run at a championship shouldn't surprise anyone.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 4.1%
11) Cincinnati Bengals
When healthy, the Bengals have the offensive firepower to challenge any team in the league. Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase remain one of football's most dangerous quarterback-receiver combinations, capable of taking over games. Cincinnati's biggest hurdle has often been staying healthy and finding consistency on defense. If those pieces come together, the Bengals have the talent to make noise in the AFC.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 4.0%
12) Houston Texans
Houston's rapid ascent has turned the franchise into one of the league's most exciting teams. C.J. Stroud has already established himself as one of the NFL's rising stars, and the Texans continue to surround him with talent. The roster looks deeper and more complete than it did just a few years ago. Expectations have shifted from rebuilding to competing for championships.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 3.2%
13) Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars enter the season as one of the hardest teams to project, but the upside remains evident. Trevor Lawrence still possesses the talent that made him a highly touted prospect, and Jacksonville has worked to strengthen the roster around him. The AFC is crowded, which leaves little margin for error. If the Jaguars can put everything together, they'll be capable of surprising people.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 2.9%
14) New England Patriots
The Patriots have generated plenty of optimism thanks to the emergence of Drake Maye and an aggressive effort to improve the roster. New England appears much closer to relevance than it did a year ago, particularly on offense. The franchise is trying to establish a new identity while returning to playoff contention. This feels like a team that could take a significant step forward.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 2.7%
15) Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys always find themselves in the spotlight, and this season will be no different. Dak Prescott leads an offense capable of producing points in bunches, while Dallas continues searching for the postseason breakthrough that has eluded it for years. The talent level remains high across the roster. The question is whether the Cowboys can finally translate that talent into a deep playoff run.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 2.6%
16) Denver Broncos
Denver's outlook has changed dramatically thanks to the development of Bo Nix. The young quarterback helped stabilize the offense and gave the Broncos reason to believe they're headed in the right direction. With a defense that remains one of the team's strengths, Denver has become a legitimate playoff contender. Another year of growth could put the Broncos firmly in the AFC conversation.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 2.6%
1) Los Angeles Rams
The Rams made one of the biggest statements of the offseason by adding Myles Garrett to a defense that was already trending upward. Pairing one of the NFL's premier pass rushers with an offense led by Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua gives Los Angeles legitimate balance on both sides of the ball. The Rams have experience, star power, and a roster built to handle the grind of a postseason run. It's easy to see why many view them as the team to beat entering the season.

ESPN Chance to Win Super Bowl: 14.9%

ESPN Ranks the Top 16 NFL Teams Best Chance to Win the Superbowl

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