DOUG MARTIN: MY FAVORITE MARTIN!
At the end of Week 4 and heading into his bye week, Doug Martin was basically a forgotten Fantasy player. He was ranked somewhere around 24th place in total points and was only at a 50 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR). Since his return from the bye week, he’s earned four straight Quality Games, was the top scorer in the last two weeks and last weekend almost set the record for most Fantasy points in one game since the year 2000. Can this hot streak continue? Absolutely! Top scorer every week? Probably not. But for now, he’s the new “My Favorite Martin”.
Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and who are one-week wonders.
The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.
So, let’s begin the review…
Quarterbacks - (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)
Quality Game Earners – Week 9
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Carson Palmer is quietly putting up a pretty consistent season. I promoted him as one of my top backup quarterbacks to draft this year with the potential of being a QB1. He’s lived up to that with his overall ranking of ninth place in total points and is tied for fourth in consistency with a 75 percent QSR. Peyton Manning has greatly exceeded my expectations this year. He’s now tied for second place in consistency with Drew Brees at an 88 percent QSR. He’s earned six straight Quality Games. Cam Newton got back on the good list this week but is still struggling with his consistency this year, with a marginal 50 percent QSR.
Andrew Luck is red-hot and is now ahead of Robert Griffin III in consistency with a 75 percent QSR versus RGIII’s 67 percent QSR. Luck earned his sixth Quality Game out of his last seven games. Josh Freeman continued his current hot streak with his fourth straight Quality Game and fifth out of his last six games. Russell Wilson earned his third Quality Game out of his last four games and should be a nice bye replacement this week.
Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Matt Ryan had a great week in passing yards but zero touchdowns did him in.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD - Quarterbacks
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Tom Brady remains as the sole perfect quarterback since he had a bye week. Robert Griffin III is really struggling, as he’s only earned two Quality Games out of his last five. Eli Manning is also reeling with only one Quality Game out of his last four games.
On the inconsistent side, the biggest surprises are quarterbacks like Cam Newton (ranked 12th overall and 50 percent QSR) and Tony Romo (16th and 50 percent) and Philip Rivers (25th and 25 percent QSR). These Fantasy players are killing a ton of Fantasy teams.
Running Backs - (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)
Quality Game Earners – Week 9
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The high praise for Doug Martin just keeps coming after last week’s performance. In my local league, which has bonuses for levels of performance and touchdown yardage, Martin scored 73 points! I’m mentioned this last week but it bears repeating, as bad as the Eagles are, LeSean McCoy and his Fantasy production just keeps consistently rolling along. Adrian Peterson’s 74-yard run versusSeattleproved once again just how great he is. Please watch it if you haven’t seen. Speaking of long touchdown runs, Chris Johnson proved why you just can’t bench him. He struggled that entire game and then BOOM, he’s golden!
Mile Leshoure exploded this past week. His consistency is at 67 percent for the six games that he’s played in and he’s earned three Quality Games out of his last four weeks. He’s becoming a must-starter now. Evan Royster earned a Quality Game forWashingtonthis past week while Alfred Morris did not. Keep an eye on this as the Shanahanigans could be ready to begin after the bye week. With Darren Sproles gone, please don’t buy into the Saints’ Russian roulette at running back, someone might get hurt and it could be you.
Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. Darren McFadden is hurt. Shocking, I know.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs
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There are still only five perfects. You have the Holy Trilogy (Arian Foster, Ray Rice and LeSean McCoy) and Adrian Peterson and DeMarco Murray. Of course,Murray’s injury is holding him at the perfect mark for now. Peterson is the only remaining nine game perfect.
Overall, I’m actually disappointed in the running backs consistency. Outside of the four perfects (who’ve played at least eight games), there are only five other running backs over 70 percent QSR. And one of those (Darren Sproles) is out for about four weeks.
Wide Receiver - (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)
Quality Game Earners – Week 9
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Another Fantasy player that I was wrong about was Brandon Marshall. It’s not that I didn’t think he would earn a ton of Fantasy points. I just didn’t believe that he could be consistent with Jay Cutler throwing him the ball. I was wrong.Marshall’s outburst this past week vaulted him to the top spot in the overall year-to-date points as well and he’s at an 88 percent QSR and is tied for second with five other receivers. A.J. Green’s owners were happy to see him return from his bye week and jump right back on the consistency train. Calvin Johnson finally earned his first Quality Game in three weeks. Madden Curse? It still lives!
Randall Cobb and James Jones have now both earned six straight Quality Games. Looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials? These receivers have recently earned multiple Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Ryan Broyles, Nate Washington and Andre Roberts. The potential waiver wire receivers with back-to-back Quality Games are Golden Tate, Donald Jones and Sidney Rice.
Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. This list is almost as big and significant as the quarterbacks list this week. Dez Bryant and Hakeem Nicks both look like they should not be playing. They can’t be helping their teams, both on the field or in Fantasy.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers
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Reggie Wayne remains as the only perfect. While I mentioned about how inconsistent the running backs have been, the wide receivers are the opposite. There are 17 receivers over the 70 percent QSR level. However, on the wrong side of 70 percent is quite a number of “stud” receivers who were probably drafted in the first three rounds of most drafts. I’ll name a few of them: Roddy White, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald.
Tight Ends - (Quality Game Factor – 9.40
Quality Game Earners – Week 9
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The tight ends picked up their game this week with 14 Quality Game earners. However, once again, the top 14 has quite a number of non-studs. Jimmy Graham is slowly returning from his injury and earned back-to-back Quality Games. Owen Daniels stayed hot as well. Antonio Gates earned just his second Quality Game of the year. Plus, Mr. Reliable, Jason Witten earned his fifth straight Quality Game.
Holy cow, where do I start with the no-name tight ends?LoganPaulsen? Robert Housler? Tom Crabtree? Charles Clay? Anyone? Buehler? Buehler? Actually, Paulsen and Housler have each earned two Quality Games out their last three. But, both are on byes this week. So, never mind.
Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this past week. Once again, Tony Gonzalez has let me down with this rash of inconsistency.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends
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I would have lost my house if I bet the mortgage on Owen Daniels to be all alone through mid-season at the top of the tight end consistency charts. But there he is! Brandon Myers is certainly the biggest surprise with his seventh place ranking and 75 percent QSR.
There’s your Week 9 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!
Week 10 – Quality Matchups
My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom 10 defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.
So, let’s take a look at the schedule.
These teams have a bye this week:
This week’s home teams are:
New Orleans, New England, Philadelphia, Carolina, Minnesota, Chicago, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Seattle, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, San Francisco and Miami
Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:
As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on these teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.
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