NO CART FOR CHRIS JOHNSON
Earlier this week, as the clang of the pan and the yell of “Bring Out Your Dead!” rang through the Fantasy world, Chris Johnson owners were running to the cart ready to throw his half-dead Fantasy season away. However, Chris Johnson yelled “I don’t want to go on the cart” and “I feel happy,” and he sprung back to life this week and led all running backs with a huge Fantasy outburst! Is his consistency back? Can he keep it going? We’ll see. But at least for now, “he’s not dead yet.”
Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and who are one-week wonders.
The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.
So, let’s begin the review…
Quarterbacks - (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)
Quality Game Earners – Week 7
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Drew Brees and Tom Brady kept their perfectly consistent seasons alive this week. Brees nailed down the top spot while Brady finished 10th for the week. Aaron Rodgers earned his fourth straight Quality Game. Eli Manning and Matthew Stafford barely made this list but that is Stafford’s fourth straight Quality Game and Eli has earned a quality game in five out of his last six games. Remember, you don’t have to be great, just consistent.
Josh Freeman was highlighted as my top bye week quarterback pick in my Historical Consistency articles in the Xclusive Edge package last week and Josh proved history was correct with his second place finish for the week. Carson Palmer has quietly moved into a tie for third with an 83 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR) for the season with a fifth place finish this week. Oh yeah, Brandon Weeden has earned three straight Quality Games.
Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Tony Romo seemed to be so much more consistent when he was dating Jessica Simpson.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD - Quarterbacks
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We are still holding at two perfects at quarterbacks for the season. Tom Brady and Drew Brees are studs. Robert Griffin III continues to amaze Fantasy owners with his second straight Quality Game after his scary concussion in Week 5. One of the bigger surprises continues to be Ryan Fitzpatrick and his Top 10 ranking in total points and 71 percent QSR (which is tied with Eli Manning and Aaron Rodgers).
On the inconsistent side, the biggest surprises are quarterbacks like Cam Newton (ranked 14th overall and 50 percent QSR), Tony Romo (23rd) and Philip Rivers (24th) at 33 percent QSR. These Fantasy players are driving many to drink.
Running Backs - (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)
Quality Game Earners – Week 7
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Another running back left for dead earlier this season was Fred Jackson. His injury and subsequent domination of C.J. Spiller led to many Fantasy owners waiving or trading him. For those who follow the consistency world, they kept the faith and were rewarded with a Quality Game for the second straight week since his return. The Bills have two great running backs and you shouldn’t be afraid to start either one of them every week. Any indications that Ahmad Bradshaw was having any issues should be swept aside as he earned his fourth straight Quality Game. Darren McFadden is slowly getting his consistency back with his second straight Quality Game as well.
Yes, I know. Shonn Greene earned his second straight Quality Game. Greene has only earned three straight Quality Games once in the past three seasons. The Jets are home versus Miami, so there is hope. LaRod Stephens-Howling is spooky. No, seriously! He’s only earned four Quality Games in total over the past three seasons. Three of the four were either in Week 7 or Week 8 (extremely close to Halloween). It’s Halloween weekend, folks. Just sayin’. Rashad Jennings should have already been handcuffed to every Maurice Jones-Drew owner. If not, grab him asap!
Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. You know who’s quietly becoming extremely frustrating for Fantasy owners, Stevan Ridley. He’s either boom or bust! He’s ranked 12th in total points but only a 57 percent QSR. Ugh!
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs
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There are still only five perfects. You have the Holy Trilogy (Arian Foster, Ray Rice and LeSean McCoy) and Adrian Peterson and DeMarco Murray. Of course, Murray’s injury is holding him at the perfect mark for now.
Other than Alfred Morris, the players sitting above the 80 percent mark are solid consistent performers like Marshawn Lynch, Ahmad Bradshaw and Matt Forte. Steven Jackson continues to disappoint this season with a 43 percent QSR, but he did earn a Quality Game this past week so maybe he’ll turn it around.
Wide Receiver - (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)
Quality Game Earners – Week 7
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Victor Cruz took the fourth spot this week and the top spot overall in total points for the season. Wes Welker earned his sixth straight Quality Game and is clearly Tom Brady’s favorite again. Miles Austin continues to be the only consistent receiver in Dallas with an 83 percent QSR. The Steelers’ dynamic duo of Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown weren’t necessarily dynamic last week but they did both earn Quality Games. Denarius Moore earned his fourth straight Quality Game and is becoming the consistent receiver that Adam Ronis and I expected!
Randall Cobb and James Jones both earned their fourth straight Quality Games this past weekend. Greg Jennings should be looking for another team while he’s off because the Packers aren’t missing him one bit. Looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials? These receivers have earned three straight Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Chris Givens and Josh Gordon. The only potential waiver wire receiver with back-to-back Quality Games was Brandon Gibson.
Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. A.J. Green fell off the perfect list this week.
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers
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And then there was one! Perfect, that is. Reggie Wayne held on as A.J. Green dropped off this week. Honestly, when it comes right down to it, every receiver over the 80 percent mark are really no surprise to me. Maybe Miles Austin is a little surprising because I would have expected Dez Bryant there instead.
The surprises that are not as consistent as they have been in the past are as follows: Marques Colston, Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson and Julio Jones. All of these receivers are at 57 percent QSR or below.
Tight Ends - (Quality Game Factor – 9.40)
Quality Game Earners – Week 7
Last week’s FINALLY chant was because Antonio Gates earned his first Quality Game of the season. This week’s chant was due to Rob Gronkowski finally taking the top spot for the first time this season. Last year, it was as common as him posing with porn stars. Owen Daniels continues his very consistent season with his third place finish. Another consistent tight end has been Heath Miller who has an 83 percent QSR for the season. His best season in the last five years was 2009 with a 56 percent QSR. Another resurrection! This time in Tampa Bay, as Dallas Clark earned his first Quality Game of the season!
Dustin Keller earned his first Quality Game of the year as well with a second place finish this week. Martellus Bennett got back on track this week after a few week cold stretch. Fred Davis went down for the season and it looks like Chris Cooley will return to the Redskins. Maybe worth a pickup if you had Fred Davis as your starter. Jimmy Graham’s injury opened the door for Daniel Thomas to earn his first Quality Game of the year. Keep an eye on this injury and grab Thomas if you haven’t already.
Here are the top tight ends that didn't earn a Quality Game this week. Vernon Davis and Kyle Rudolph both had ZERO points this week. That’s painful!
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Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends
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There still six tight ends over an 80 percent QSR. Aaron Hernandez continues his limited perfect season while Heath Miller and Brandon Myers are the surprises in the group. Vernon Davis, Martellus Bennett and Jermaine Gresham are ranked fifth and seventh respectively but are killing teams with their 57 percent QSR
There’s your Week 7 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!
Week Eight – Quality Matchups
My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom ten defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.
So, let’s take a look at the schedule.
These teams have a bye this week:
Baltimore, Buffalo, Cincinnati and Houston
This week’s home teams are:
Minnesota, New York Jets, Cleveland, Tennessee, St. Louis, Green Bay, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Chicago, Kansas City, Dallas, Denver and Arizona
Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:
San Diego @ Cleveland
As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on these teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.
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