Betting Talk: Week 1 Picks Against the Spread
Editor's note: This article is part of a 4-week series being done with MyBookie.Ag
The big news in the National Football League on Tuesday was that Ezekiel Elliott will be eligible to play in Week 1 against the Giants. But savvy bettors will want to take the G-Men on the road at Jerry World. These are some Week 1 Picks we like against the spread.
Giants (+4) over Cowboys
Yes, Zeke will be in the backfield and at the disposal of Dak Prescott, which is great news. However, the Cowboys offense was bottled up by Big Blue in 2016, as New York swept the season series and was a major thorn in the side of the NFC East champion Pokes. Elliott staggered to a season-low 2.6 yards per carry on 20 totes in last season's opener at Jerry World.
Prescott was 0-2 as a starter against the Giants and 13-0 against everyone else until a cameo in Philadelphia on New Year's Day. Prescott also struggled against the Giants, throwing for just 392 yards, one touchdown and two picks. Dallas is also just 1-6 ATS over their past seven against NFC foes and 7-19-1 ATS across their past 27 on fieldturf. Meanwhile, the Giants are 6-2 ATS in their past eight trips to the Metroplex and 5-0 ATS across the past five in the series. The 'dog has also barked in four of the past five battles.
Buccaneers/Dolphins under (41.5)
This advice comes with a HUGE disclaimer. The Week 1 game between these Sunshine State rivals might not be played. What is clear is this game will not be played in Miami due to the approach of extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma. Discussions are ongoing of a potential move to either Philadelphia or Pittsburgh as of late Tuesday evening, although a move to another day, or perhaps even Week 11, are still on the table. With distractions and interruption of routine, expect a lower-scoring game if played.
Jaguars over Texans (+5.5)
Another club with hurricane aftermath distractions of their own, the Texans will square off against the Jaguars in Week 1. Houston was recently ravaged by Hurricane Harvey, with over 50 inches of rain causing catastrophic flooding in parts of Southeast Texas. They'll look to give the Houston fans something to cheer about after such a trying period.
However, while the Texans are 8-2-1 ATS in their past 11 divisional games, they have struggled against the Jaguars for whatever reason. Jacksonville has also been solid against divisional foes, posting a 9-4-1 ATS mark across their past 14. That includes an impressive 4-1-1 ATS mark across their past six trips to H-Town, with the 'dog cashing in four of the past five in the series and the road team hitting the number in five of the past six.
As an added bonus, total bettors will want to pay attention. The total has gone over in five of Jacksonville's past six against division mates while hitting in four of their past five against the Texans. As of late Tuesday night the total was 39 1/2, lowest on the Week 1 card.
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