The Dallas Stars and New York Rangers face off Monday night at Madison Square Garden for the first game of a two-game season series. New York — on the heels of back-to-back wins — looks to get above .500 with a win in this one.
· Dallas Stars: -135
· New York Rangers: +115
· Dallas Stars -1.5: +200
· New York Rangers +1.5: -240
· Over 5.5: -110
· Under 5.5: -110
Key Points to Consider
Stars Lining Up: Dallas have won two of their last five, overall, as they kick off this three-game road trip. Dallas, 29-22 on the season, is 13-10-2 on the road so far this season. Dallas’ power play success rate, however, is at just 18.4 percent — good for No. 22 in the league.
Bishop’s Finest: Despite the not-so-stellar power-play success rate, the Stars are a tough opponent night in and night out thanks to Ben Bishop. Bishop — his last time out — stopped 29-of-31 shots in the team’s 3-2 win vs New Jersey. (Editor’s note: Anton Khudobin will start tonight)
New York’s Status: New York’s power-play unit is No. 8 in the league with a 22.1 percent success rate. They’ll start Henrik Lundqvist in front of the net as he enters this one following a 1-0 road win vs Detroit his last time out.
Real Talk: Dallas is clearly the better roster, but the home ice advantage here does matter. New York is solid at home, and Dallas relies more on its defense than offense. We’ll lean on taking the points and the home ‘dog in this one.
Value: Rangers win close to 53 percent of simulations — compared to the 46.5 percentage chance of winning the +115 odds indicate.
In terms of shots on goal and who has the best probability to score for Dallas, we’ll keep our eyes on Tyler Seguin who averages a game-high 3.7 shots on goal per sim.
For New York, we’ll be looking at either Artemi Panarin or Mika Zibanejad to score. Panarin averages 3 shots on goal, while Zibanejad averages 3.2 per.
Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick on the total here. Average total score in sims is 5.3 goals. Dallas is known for their defense, and Lundqvist is above average at home. We’ll lean on this being a low(er) scoring match than odds-makers are indicating.
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