Bat Tosses, Chisenhall for Real, Sleeper WR and Bieber?
It's June, so that means… football? Yep. It didn't take long but we already have football pushing its way into the mix. Don't worry, as @allinkid hits on the big three baseball players this week.
@ne***ck: okay Jake, is Lonnie Chisenhall the real deal?
Might as well get the hottest name out of the way first. Chisenhall is absolutely raking with a .385 average, seven home runs, 29 runs and 32 RBI in 51 games. So do you trade for him or trade him away? It's all about what we can expect from Chisenhall the rest of the way.
Many have forgotten that Chisenhall was the 29th pick in the 2008 draft and one of the Indians’ top prospects. However, Chisenhall hasn't displayed the talent that had the Indians brass excited… until now. Granted, his .420 BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) will drop, but thanks to his great LD% (Line Drive Percentage), Chisenhall will be able to maintain his success. In addition, several of Chisenhall's metrics are similar to his 2012 campaign with some better luck, less pop-ups and fewer ground balls. Chisenhall has 20-plus home run power and the ability to hit .300, and you can bank on him being a worthy buy - just remember that a .300 ending AVG means around .280 the rest of the way.
@se***hy: what is wrong with manny machado?
Besides his being bat crazy (see what I did there)?
Machado is certainly having "youngster, I want to show how tough I am, I'm not going to back down" issues. Trying to tell us that the bat slipped out of his hands is a joke. What is not funny are Machado's stats through 35 games. Machado is batting just .229 with four home runs.
There are several factors at play. Machado is suffering from some poor luck with a .257 BABIP. It's not pure luck for Machado's struggles, as his Groundball Percentage (GB%) is a career high 57.1 percent. He is also striking out more and hitting for less power; he’s posting a career low .107 ISO (Isolated Power). The good news is that Machado has a quality LD% and HR/FB rate, so owners simply need to be patient and wait for Machado to get on track… or even just getting his head on straight.
@Da***yo: pick up Kendrys Morales – I think I spelled it right
You did! But… can we abolish this compensation pick system? Stephen Drew and Morales sitting at home playing solitaire until now is absurd. So is the Super Two nonsense, but I just wanted to toss that in anecdotally.
So is Morales a must-grab? Absolutely. Morales had a similar season-end value as Victor Martinez, Billy Butler, Allen Craig and Adrian Gonzalez for your DH and 1B comparisons. Will that be the case this year? Obviously not, but the better question is whether he will have similar value for the rest of the season? It will be close but not quite.
The park won't be as much of a factor as most average fans would think. Angel Stadium can be just as difficult for power hitters as Target Field. So it comes down to which Morales we'll see. Last year, Morales' ISO dropped for the fourth straight year, even though he hit 23 home runs. If given a full season, Morales should have hit just about 20 homers, so now we have 260-280 at-bats (allowing for a few days off), which should result in 10-12 home runs with an average around .260-.270. That's not quite A-Gone value, and certainly not V-Mart production, but it's better than Butler and pretty close to Craig. Again, that means Morales is a must-own.
@CB***rs: I know it's early but having fun mocking already. Any upside late picks?
This is a tease for you to read the full list in our Fantasy Football Xclusive Edge Draft Kit. I could pick a brand new player, there are certainly plenty this year, but I'm giving you said tease and using a player whose draft status shocks me: Doug Baldwin.
As of today, Baldwin's ADP checks in as the 71st receiver off the board (myfantasyleague.com). Where does that rank overall? Oh, just pick 194. That is undrafted folks! Forget the fact that Baldwin checks in behind Martavis Bryant (rookie), Jarvis Landry (another rookie), Stevie Johnson and teammate Paul Richardson (another rookie). Baldwin falls behind Justin Tucker… the KICKER! Baldwin finished as the 37th best receiver last year. Where is the disconnect?
Are people downgrading Baldwin based solely on Percy Harvin's return? Let's say Harvin actually plays 16 games. Even so, he simply replaces Golden Tate, who is now in Detroit. Baldwin was the second option for Russell Wilson last year, and he will be again. As for the Harvin factor, if anything, Harvin's superior ability in comparison to Tate will draw more attention, thereby only easing the way for Baldwin.
Okay, hold on, some of you want to throw Sidney Rice in the mix. If, and that's a big if, Rice can stay healthy (missed 25 games the past four years), he may cut into Baldwin's snaps, but as of now, Baldwin is starting across from Harvin. I have Baldwin checking in with around 17 percent of the targets in Seattle, and that's with Rice hitting double digits. Baldwin saw 18 percent last year, so it's a minor decrease and far from giving reason to drop Baldwin from 37 to 71. If you want to drop Baldwin into the 40s, I won't argue much, but this undrafted nonsense needs to stop.
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