Buy Low on Astros’ Alex Bregman, Sell High on Tigers’ Justin Wilson
Matt Holliday NYY - BUY LOW
Holliday had been hampered by a viral infection over the past three weeks, but he returned to play in all four games this past weekend for the Yankees against Boston. Since it isn't a normal physical injury, it is tricky to predict how this infection could affect Holliday, but for now it looks like he's good to go moving forward. He had a quiet weekend in his return, but Holliday is still worth a look as an undervalued Fantasy asset. His .250 average doesn't jump off the page, but he's posted a 124 wRC+, thanks in large part to his power capabilities. As a part of a Yankees lineup with Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez, Holliday gets plenty of RBI opportunities. Also, the lackluster average could be due for an increase with some positive regression on his .294 BABIP (.332 career BABIP). Once he settles back in, Holliday is a consistent run-producing hitter. If you can acquire him for rather cheap, he could help you win your league down the stretch.
Justin Wilson DET - SELL HIGH
Wilson has been one of the best relievers in MLB this season and has taken advantage of his recent opportunity to close out games for the Tigers, converting 10 of 11 save chances. His 12.74 K/9 is the kind of elite number you look for in a back-end bullpen arm. Naturally, Wilson has popped up in trade talks as we get close to the deadline. What is unclear is what Wilson's role would be if he is traded to a contender. The Rays have interest, and Wilson could keep the closer role if he gets traded there. However, other teams with solid closing options may look at Wilson as an elite setup option. Washington, according to reports, still has interest in Wilson after completing a trade for Ryan Madsen and Sean Doolittle from Oakland. It seems likely that one of those two would get the first opportunity to close out games in Washington, even if they did add Wilson, due to their pedigree and playoff experience. Other potential destinations, such as the Dodgers and Red Sox, already have proven, unassailable closers. Dealing Wilson now, before he is potentially stripped of his closer duties in a new city, could net you a solid return.
Alex Bregman HOU - BUY LOW
Bregman hasn't quite had the breakout year that some had anticipated this season in Houston, though, he has been an effective contributor for the Astros' dominant offense. He's hitting just .254 and has posted a wRC+ of 108, meaning he's been just about average offensively. However, Bregman has been hot lately, hitting .391 in his last six games entering the All-Star break. This week features a series against the Orioles and their struggling rotation, a solid match up for Bregman. He is also due for some positive regression in his .294 BABIP at some point, which could make his numbers look a lot better. He hasn't been a disappointment this season, but the big time breakout is still (hopefully) right around the corner. Making a move for him now could pay off big time over the second half of the season.
Julio Teheran ATL - SELL HIGH
Teheran has been great in his past two starts, and for the past month, really, except for one poor performance against Milwaukee. Some may see this as the start of a resurgence for Teheran, but it's likely just fool's gold. His 4.79 ERA remains high, but his 5.25 xFIP insinuates that he's been worse, not better, than that high ERA. He's also not striking out anyone by today's standards (6.53 K/9), while walking plenty (3.48 BB/9), which is never a good sign for a starter. Teheran's peripherals are that of a player who shouldn't be owned in most Fantasy formats, even with the lack of quality starting pitching options available. Getting anything of value in return for him is a win.
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