Buy Low on Josh Hamilton, Sell High On Dan Haren
This summer, FantasyAces.com is turning up the heat with its $250,000 World Baseball Championship. 20 qualifiers will enjoy a 3-night oceanfront vacation in Southern California for the live final at Angel Stadium. So, enter the next FAWBC qualifier and take a swing at this once-in-a-lifetime DFS experience and the $100,000 grand prize!
Last week, I mentioned that some Fantasy Baseball managers are starting to get distracted by all the buzz surrounding the upcoming Fantasy Football season. Of course, all of the fun in the sun that goes along with the summer months like barbeques, beer and beaches can also serve to take Fantasy owners’ attention away from their goal of winning a Fantasy Baseball championship. However, I failed to take one very prominent distraction into account this summer. It’s a big one and it’s got some pretty big choppers. Yep, you guessed it! I’m talking about Sharknado 3. I was flipping channels, after watching Andrew Miller and my beloved NY Yankees defeat the Baltimore Orioles, and there it was, a movie about sharks who get caught in a tornado, fly through the air and land on unsuspecting shark attack victims. How could I have ever missed Sharknado 1 and 2? Take my advice. Skip over the Sci-Fi channel for the next couple of weeks because if you’re like me, you won’t be able to stop watching the greatest shark attack movie since Jaws (not), and you don’t need that kind of distraction in the middle of your Fantasy Baseball season. Trust me on this one. I was able to pull myself away from this epic movie long enough to identify three players who you can trade for and buy at a discount. They have historically finished their seasons on a high note. On the other hand I’ll reveal a player who has put together strong first half statistics who is not only due to regress as the season progresses, but who can potentially get traded to a team that plays in a stadium that will hurt his Fantasy value. Happy trading everyone!!
All stats are current as per the morning of 7/23/15
Josh Hamilton, OF, Rangers
Why not take a chance on Josh Hamilton? Yes, he’s had his personal issues and has been dealing with injuries as of late, but when you take a
[caption id="attachment_17409" align="alignright" width="400"] It might be time to take a chance on Josh Hamilton for the remainder of the season. Photo Credit: Keith Allison[/caption]
look at the potential upside he brings to the table, snatching his power bat off of your league’s waiver wire or acquiring him as a throw-in as part of a multi-player Fantasy trade is a no brainer. Hamilton is back playing for the organization for whom he had his best years, and the Rangers are a team that knows what kind of support system Hamilton needs in order to flourish. He has performed well during the dog days of summer. Hamilton has a career .297 batting average and a slugging percentage over .500 after August 1. He’s a streaky hitter who has the potential to hit his home runs in bunches, and he’s healthy. He might falter, but just imagine if he plays up to his potential while on your Fantasy team…
Alex Rios, OF, Royals
When you play in a season-long league that requires you to start five outfielders, finding that last player who can give you consistent production can be hard to do. With a .255 batting average, just two home runs and 14 RBIs Alex Rios might not have yet caught your attention, but with a recent hot streak and just a 46 percent ownership rate in Yahoo! Sports Fantasy leagues, he may be someone you can either pick up off the waiver wire in larger leagues, or trade for at a reasonable price. In his prime, Fantasy owners could regularly count on Rios for what can be described as a poor man’s five-tool production; his home run power was in the high teen to mid twenty range, he could hit for average and steal anywhere from 20 to 40 bases per season. He could also be counted on to score and drive in his fair share number of runs. A lingering thumb injury might have contributed to Rios’ loss of power last season, (he hit just four dingers last year), and he spent part of this season on the DL with a fractured hand, however Rios’ bat has come alive as of late. Rios has scored 10 runs in his last 11 games and he has batted .487 during that span. His power numbers haven’t yet returned, but with seven steals without getting caught in 50 games this season, he can potentially provide your Fantasy team with 10 to 12 stolen bases before the season is over.
Brandon Belt, 1B, Giants
The San Francisco Giants have been one of the most successful baseball franchises in recent years because of the contributions of under the radar type players like Joe Panik and Brandon Crawford. Knowledgeable Fantasy owners are familiar with Brandon Belt, however, he struggled in the early going and again during the month of June, and many Fantasy managers gave up on him, as shown by his 72 percent Yahoo! Sports ownership rate. Belt has historically been a good second half player, and judging by the fact that he has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games, he is someone that you should consider pursuing in the trade market before your fellow Fantasy managers start to take notice of him again. Belt has taken his faithful Fantasy owners on a roller coaster ride this season, taking them to new heights after providing them with some pretty big drops. At one point, his Fantasy owners didn’t know what to expect from him. Belt was batting a lowly .214 on May 2 and then his bat quickly caught fire, causing his batting average to sky rocket to .320 by May 23. Historically, his first half .259 overall batting average tops out at .284 for his career. His career first half slugging, OBP, and OPS numbers all increase as well during the second half. The good news is that it looks like his recent hot streak and potential second half upside may be a sign that we can expect more consistency from Belt moving forward.
Dan Haren, SP, Marlins
Dan Haren has been a pleasant surprise for Fantasy Baseball managers. With an ADP of 367, chances are that he made it onto your team as a waiver wire pickup, and with seven wins, a 3.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, he has performed admirably for your team. However, it may be time to move him. Haren has a history of regressing as the baseball season progresses. He owns a second half ERA of 3.97 to go along with a 1.23 WHIP as opposed to his career first half 3.58 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. In addition, there have been whispers that the Marlins may be looking to move Haren, who will be a free agent at the end of the season. One of the teams supposedly interested in him is the Toronto Blue Jays. A move to the Jays would deliver a big blow to Haren’s Fantasy value since he has a 5.43 career ERA when pitching at the Toronto’s Rogers Centre.
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