Fantasy Baseball Buy Low and Sell High: Rockies’ Carlos Gonzalez, Rays’ Steven Souza
Carlos Gonzalez COL- BUY LOW
CarGo is having a horrendous year so far, hitting just .221 with a measly 51 wRC+. He has returned from the DL after missing time with a right shoulder issue. The good news is that he is a Low Injury Risk according to Inside Injuries. Hopefully the return from the DL and improved health in that shoulder will allow him to get back close to his career numbers. He's also hit into a bit of bad luck this season as evidenced by his .261 BABIP. If he can begin hitting the ball harder, that BABIP should rise and he should begin to look somewhat like the player we have been accustomed to. Making a move for him now could pay off.
Steven Souza Jr. TB- SELL HIGH
Souza is a classic all-or-nothing hitter, having launched 16 homers while striking out 28% of the time. He's been hot recently, racking up 6 hits over the weekend in 3 games including a couple of round-trippers. What's worrisome about Souza is that he's a rather volatile asset. With a K-rate approaching 30%, he is prone to prolonged slumps. Also, his .269 average is propped up by a .347 BABIP. If Souza goes through a rough patch with strikeouts and gets some bad luck on balls in play he could be in for quite the slump. It's hard to let go of a player like Souza when they're hot, but if you can get a solid asset in return right now it is likely a good bet.
Joe Ross WSH- BUY LOW
Ross has been a highly volatile asset so far this season. The young starter had dominant outings mixed with some very poor showings. Ever since he went on the DL last year with a shoulder issue things haven't quite straightened out for Ross, but don't let that make you forget just how good he was beforehand. He's also showed some signs of settling in of late, and his peripheral numbers show that he could be in for a bit of a prolonged breakout. While his ERA is still a ghastly 5.12, his xFIP is 4.09, which shows that he's likely pitched better than his ERA. Also, he holds a solid 3.83 K/BB ratio, which is always a good sign for a pitcher looking forward. He has two starts this week, both of which are good matchups against the Mets and Braves. This could be the week he (finally) starts to pitch well with some consistency. If you can still acquire him for cheap, he could turn out to be a steal the rest of the way.
Mike Foltynewicz ATL- SELL HIGH
Foltynewicz has been on a roll in his last three starts, culminating in a near no-no in his last outing against the A's. He's been a bit up and down this year like Ross, but unlike Ross, his peripheral numbers show that he's overachieved overall this season. 'Folty' has posted a solid 3.83 ERA, but his xFIP sits at 4.58. He's benefited from a .290 BABIP against, which is also likely to trend upwards over the remainder of the season. He also doesn't strike out many hitters while giving up too many walks. His 3.10 BB/9 is not what you want to see from a starter, and his 2.53 K/BB ratio is pretty mediocre. Foltynewicz is capable of putting together some great stretches, but overall he's an average Major League starter at best. If you can swing him for something worth more than that, make the move.
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