Fantasy Baseball: DFS Week 15 at a Glance
What a great job the city of Cincinnati did hosting the 2015 Major League Baseball All-Star Game. And what a great future the game of baseball has with so many bright, young stars to take care of the game well into the next 10-12 years.
It's time to kick off the second half, and we get right down to it with a full slate of games for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, a slight departure from past years with an extra day off Thursday for all teams. It is much appreciated by the players, I am sure, especially those who traveled to southwest Ohio for the mid-summer classic.
OK, let's get back into the swing of things and win money right out of the chute in the second half!
This summer you can win up to a $250,000 from our friends at FantasyAces.com, and there will be a live event at Angels Stadium.
There is another qualifer Friday - enter here: $250,000 in the FantasyAces.com World Baseball Championship
For more recommendations from me throughout the week, plus tips from other top industry analysts like Drew Dinkmeyer, check out DailyRoto.com for comprehensive free and premium DFS content.
FantasyAces.com salaries included below where applicable. (*** salaries subject to change ***)
PROBABLE PITCHERS TO START
FRIDAY (16 games - 15 after 7pm ET)
James Shields, San Diego ($7,450 vs. COL): 'Big Game James' has been big, at least at home, where he's posted a 3-1 record with a 2.77 ERA and 60 strikeouts over 52 innings in eight starts at Petco Park. He is better under the lights, too, posting a 3.50 ERA in 12 night starts as opposed to a 4.93 ERA in seven afternoon affairs. All of the splits are in Shields' favor, and he takes on a Colorado offense that is averaging just 3.13 runs per game over their past eight road games.
Julio Teheran, Atlanta ($6,250 vs. CHC): It's been well documented that Teheran is a subpar pitcher on the road, and money at home for DFS owners. He is 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA in eight starts with a .187 opponent batting average and 44 strikeouts over 53 innings at Turner Field, and a 1-4 record with a 6.95 ERA and .333 opponent batting average in 10 road outings. Good thing Friday's start is at home. Add in the fact the Cubs strike out more than any other National League club (799), and they're second in the majors in the category, and Teheran should roll up huge DFS numbers at a cut-rate price.
SATURDAY (15 games - 12 after 7:05pm ET)
Michael Pineda, N.Y. Yankees (vs. SEA - EARLY): Pineda gets another crack at his former employer Saturday afternoon. He dominated the Mariners the last time he faced them June 1 at Safeco Field, allowing just two earned runs with nine strikeouts over six innings in a win. He is even better at home, posting a 3.21 ERA in nine home outings with 65 strikeouts over 56 innings. He also ranks 14th in the majors with 9.39 strikeouts per nine innings (K/9), and that's good news against a Mariners offense that has the sixth-most strikeouts as a team.
David Price, Detroit (vs. BAL - LATE): Price is very familiar with the Orioles from his time in St. Pete, posting a 3-1 record and 2.74 ERA with 43 strikeouts over 49.1 innings over eight starts against the O's since April 2012. More importantly, the Orioles have struck out 717 times through the first half, third-most in the American League. Win or lose, Price should roll up big-time numbers for his DFS owners at home.
Tyson Ross, San Diego (vs. COL - LATE): Ross doesn't get the recognition that some of the bigger name pitchers do, but he has posted some fairly nice results this season. Most importantly, he ranks 10th in the majors with a 9.63 K/9 rate, and while his run support could be a little better (3.84 runs of offense per game), that's not his fault. He does walk too many batters, and that's something he needs to work on if he is to take the next step. Still, if you're looking for strikeouts at a mid-level price then Ross is your guy Saturday night.
SUNDAY (15 games)
Dallas Keuchel, Houston (vs. TEX): The American League's All-Star Game starter is back home where he has been on fire this season, posting an 8-0 record with a microscopic 1.24 ERA in 10 outings, including a pair of complete games. He has 69 strikeouts during the 72.2 innings at Minute Maid Park while holding the opposition to a .193 batting average. He ranks 10th in the majors with a 0.94 WHIP at home, and he has a solid 8.55 K/9 ratio at home. That's great news for DFS owners, as he'll be up against a Texas offense that ranks seventh in the majors in strikeouts heading into the second half.
Shelby Miller, Atlanta (vs. CHC): The All-Star Miller tailed off slightly toward the end of the first half, but he still finished with a dominant 1.94 ERA in eight home outings while racking up 51 strikeouts in 51 innings at Turner Field. He should add to those numbers against a Cubs offense that is no stranger to the punchout.
HITTERS TO START
Lorenzo Cain, OF, Kansas City ($5,250 at KC): Cain faces White Sox LHP John Danks Friday in Game 2 of a doubleheader. Danks is a guy he hasn't had much success against over the years. But don't worry, as a light has gone off for the All-Star this season, especially against left-handed pitchers. Cain actually leads the league with a .368 batting average (35-for-95) and a 1.002 OPS against southpaws, so don't be afraid to pull the trigger on Cain despite a subpar 2-for-17 (.118) lifetime against Danks. That isn't enough of a history to offset what Lo Cain has done this season, which carries much more weight.
Jarrod Dyson, OF, Kansas City ($4,250 at CHW): With Alex Gordon going down with a long-term injury, it appears Dyson will get first crack at some regular at-bats in manager Ned Yost's lineup. Dyson has some decent speed, posting 11 steals in just 109 at-bats, so he could post plenty of steals and runs scored if given the chance at regular playing time. He comes with a cheap price tag and therefore very little risk to DFS players.
DJ LeMahieu, 2B, Colorado ($4,750 at SD): LeMahieu rolled into the All-Star break with an eight-game hitting streak, going 15-for-32 (.469) with five runs scored. Hopefully, the time off did nothing to cool him off, as he is a great value at this price level.
Lorenzo Cain, OF, Kansas City ($5,250 at KC - EARLY): Remember above when we mentioned Cain's success against lefties? Well, he faces a second southpaw in as many days Saturday. Keep rolling with Lo Cain into Saturday, as he gets shaky White Sox LHP Jose Quintana in this one. In fact, the Royals will be a popular early-game stack team against Q.
Prince Fielder, 1B, Texas ($5,650 at HOU - LATE): The main reason Fielder re-emerged as an All-Star has been the fact he has abused right-handed pitching all season long. He headed into the majors with a .381 mark vs. RHP, leading by 21 points over the nearest competitior. That includes eight homers, 12 doubles, 38 RBIs and a 1.000 OPS in 202 at-bats. He gets to face Astros RHP Scott Feldman. For what it's worth, he has a successful, yet short, history against the Houston hurler. Fielder is 4-for-13 (.308) with two doubles, a homer, seven RBIs and a 1.049 OPS, which basically mirrors his splits vs. RHP overall in 2015.
Jason Kipnis, 2B, Cleveland ($5,500 at CIN - LATE): The All-Star Kipnis has been solid against right-handed pitching all season, and now he sets his sights on Reds RHP Anthony DeSclafani. Kip is second in the majors among left-handed hitters with a .357 mark (74-for-207) against right-handed pitching, and that includes 17 doubles, five triples, four homers, 23 RBIs and a solid .993 OPS. More importantly, he has 32 walks to just 30 strikeouts.
Salvador Perez, C, Kansas City ($4,750 at CHW - EARLY): The All-Star Perez has produced big numbers in his career against Quintana, going 13-for-36 (.361) with three doubles, a triple, two homers, seven RBIs and a 1.061 OPS. Look for more of the same in Saturday's early slate of action.
Nolan Arenado, 3B, Colorado ($5,800 at SD): The All-Star Arenado is tied for the major league lead with 22 homers against right-handed pitching, and he finished the first half with a .967 OPS in such situations. And his 61 RBIs vs. RHP were 10 more than anyone else in the league. He'll face Padres RHP Andrew Cashner Sunday, a guy who enters 3-10 with 13 homers allowed in 109.2 innings. Look for a big stat line from Arenado in the series finale.
Mark Trumbo, OF, Seattle ($4,600 at NYY): Trumbo is a solid play with some power upside against Yankees LHP CC Sabathia (knee), who recently had his knee drained. After tremendous difficulties to start the season in Arizona, and a slow start in Seattle, he finally appears to be shaky off the rust, hitting .375 (12-for-32) with a .943 OPS in 10 games in the month of July. And he has a small measure of success against CC, going 5-for-13 (.385) with a homer and 1.000 OPS. At this price level he is a good DFS play for some power upside.
Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (MLB Network. 2:20 p.m.)
L.A. Dodgers at Washington - OR - Seattle at N.Y. Yankees (MLB Network, 7:05 p.m.)
Seattle at N.Y. Yankees - OR - Tampa Bay at Toronto (MLB Network, 1:05 p.m.)
L.A. Dodgers at Washington (FOX Sports 1, 4:05 p.m.)
Cleveland at Cincinnati (FOX Sports 1, 7:10 p.m.)
Boston at L.A. Angels - OR - Minnesota at Oakland (MLB Network, 9:05 p.m.)
L.A. Dodgers at Washington (TBS, 1:35 p.m.)
Boston at L.A. Angels (ESPN, 8:05 p.m.)
Dallas Keuchal Photo Credit: Bryan Green
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