Fantasy Baseball: DFS Week 21 At A Glance
We're on our way to the final week of August, and then rosters will expand Tuesday, Sept. 1. Daily Fantasy Baseball goes to a whole new level when rosters expand, as the upside will be extra players to choose from each night. However, the downside is that those with the most minor injuries are often scratched, and veteran players take a seat fairly often on teams playing out the string so the organization can see young players in action in game situations for an important evaluation heading into the offseason. It can be maddening, and often times even the most die-hard DFS players and baseball fans will turn their attention away from baseball to football and other sports.
For more recommendations from me throughout the week, plus tips from other top industry analysts like Drew Dinkmeyer, check out DailyRoto.com for comprehensive free and premium DFS content.
FantasyAces.com salaries included below where applicable. (*** salaries subject to change ***)
PROBABLE PITCHERS TO START
MONDAY (10 games - nine after 7:05pm ET)
Nathan Eovaldi, SP, N.Y. Yankees ($5,750 vs. HOU): Eovaldi has been great this year, winning 13 of his 15 decisions in 24 starts. However, he has rolled up a 5-0 record with a 3.46 ERA in 11 starts at Yankee Stadium with 45 strikeouts over 65 innings and a .250 opponent batting average. The Astros strike out more than any other team in the American League (1,105), so look for a big stat line for Eovaldi.
Julio Teheran, SP, Atlanta ($6,150 vs. COL): We've been rolling with Teheran at home all season and it has paid giant dividends, just avoid him on the road. At Turner Field the Colombian hurler is 6-1 with a 2.44 ERA in 12 home starts with just three homers allowed over 77 1/3 innings while the opposition is hitting just .201 against him in 12 starts. In 13 road outings he is 2-5 with a 6.32 ERA with 16 homers allowed over 72 2/3 innings while the opponent is hitting .316 against him.
TUESDAY (15 games)
Mike Montgomery, SP, Seattle (vs. OAK): Montgomery has posted a respectable 3.40 ERA in seven home starts with a complete game, and he has a very impressive. 227 opponent batting average over 45 innings at Safeco Field. In his only start against Oakland this season he allowed just one run and six hits with a walk over 5 2/3 innings in a win July 5.
WEDNESDAY (15 games - 13 after 7:05 pm ET)
Carlos Carrasco, SP, Cleveland (vs. MIL): Carrasco ranks seventh in the majors with a 9.85 K/9 (strikeouts per nine innings) ratio, and he has seven or more strikeouts in each of his past five outings while turning in quality starts in each of the outings. Whatever the price you need him in your lineup in a very favorable matchup.
THURSDAY (11 games - six after 7:05 pm ET)
Madison Bumgarner, SP, San Francisco (vs. CHC): MadBum has managed a tremendous 0.99 WHIP and 2.05 ERA in 13 home starts. His home ERA ranks sixth in the majors, and he has 107 strikeouts in 92 innings at home. That will come in handy against the Cubs, a team which leads the majors in whiffs.
Yovani Gallardo, SP, Texas (vs. TOR): Lately, no one has been able to cool off the hot sticks of the Jays. But if anyone can, it might be Gallardo at home. He enters 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA in four starts in the month of August, and he hasn't allowed a homer in his past three starts (17 innings).
FRIDAY (15 games)
Kyle Gibson, SP, Minnesota (vs. HOU): Gibson has posted strong numbers at home, striking out 62 batters over 80 2/3 innings in 13 starts at Target Field. The Astros have a lot of holes in their bats, so Gibson could be a nice mid-level DFS play. He'll be working against no-hitter pitcher SP Mike Fiers, who won't nearly be as peerless on the road.
Taylor Jungmann, SP, Milwaukee (vs. CIN): Jungmann has been very effective during the early days of his major league career, especially at Miller Park. He is 3-2 with a 1.75 ERA in six home starts with a .244 opponent average with no homers allowed in 36 innings.
SATURDAY (15 games - 11 after 7:05pm ET)
Drew Hutchison, SP, Toronto (vs. DET): Hutchison is back from a brief banishment to the minors, and he should produce back at home. He is 10-1 with a 2.57 ERA in 13 home starts with 70 strikeouts over 80 2/3 innings while opponents are hitting just .226 against him at Rogers Centre. He is also 5-0 in nine day starts, and, of course, he leads the majors in run support. All of those things make him a good DFS play.
Jordan Zimmermann, SP, Washington (vs. MIA): Zimmermann has posted a 2.84 ERA in 19 innings over three starts against the Marlins, and he has 10 strikeouts during the span. And he is 7-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 15 starts against the Marlins since April 2012.
SUNDAY (15 games)
Noah Syndergaard, SP, N.Y. Mets (vs. BOS): Syndergaard has rolled up a 7-1 record with a 1.82 ERA with 65 strikeouts over 64 1/3 innings in nine home starts with the opposition hitting a paltry .194 against him, while he is 0-5 with a 5.05 ERA in nine road starts. Take advantage of the favorable matchup.
HITTERS TO START
Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City ($5,450 vs. BAL): Hosmer is hitting at a .330 clip at home with a .965 OPS, and he is 9-for-26 (.346) with two homers, six RBI and a 1.046 OPS in his career against Orioles RHP Ubaldo Jimenez.
Xander Bogaerts, SS, Boston ($4,850 at CHW): Bogaerts will be facing White Sox LHP Jose Quintana, and hitting lefties is what he does best. He leads the majors with a .385 batting average against southpaws while posting a .936 OPS.
Jung-Ho Kang, SS, Pittsburgh ($4,850 at MIA): Kang is hitting a solid .304 with 17 doubles, two triples, nine homers and 37 RBI in 276 at-bats against right-handed pitching.
Jason Kipnis, 2B, Cleveland (vs. MIL): Kipnis has been unreal at Progressive Field this season, hitting .357 with 20 doubles, five triples, four homers, 25 RBI and a .957 OPS at home. He is second in the majors in home average behind only Detroit's Miguel Cabrera.
Melky Cabrera, OF, Chicago White Sox ($4,800 vs. BOS): Cabrera has a nice mid-level price tag and tremendous production over the years against Red Sox RHP Rick Porcello. Cabrera is 12-for-22 (.545) with three doubles, a homer, three RBI and a 1.402 OPS against the former Tigers hurler.
Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit ($6,000 vs. LAA): You're going to want to make Miggy the centerpiece of your Detroit stack against Angels LHP Hector Santiago. Miggy is well worth the money, as he is hitting .354 with four doubles, four homers, 15 RBI and a 1.106 OPS against left-handed pitching, and he is hitting .376 with 15 doubles, a triple, six homers, 28 RBI and a 1.063 OPS at Comerica Park this season.
Nick Castellanos, 3B, Detroit ($4,150 vs. LAA): Castellanos has been tearing up southpaws this season, hitting .355 (33-for-93) with nine extra-base hits (three 2B, two 3B, four HR) and 19 RBI to go along with an impressive .973 OPS. At this price level he is a must-start when a southpaw is on the hill.
Jose Iglesias, SS, Detroit ($4,800 vs. LAA): If only the Tigers could face more lefties, perhaps their lost season wouldn't be so lost. Iglesias is crushing lefties to the tune of a .351 average (34-for-97) with six doubles, a triple, homer, 11 RBI and an .871 OPS.
Victor Martinez, UTIL, Detroit ($4,900 vs. LAA): Martinez is hitting a robust .354 (28-for-79) with seven doubles, a homer, 13 RBI and an .883 OPS against left-handed pitching this season. He has picked up the pace with seven RBI over his past 10 games heading into the new week, making him a solid mid-level play.
Daniel Murphy, Detroit ($4,750 at PHI): Murphy should be part of a Mets stack against Phillies RHP Aaron Harang. He has collected nine hits (including five doubles and a homer) with five RBI and a 1.024 OPS against the veteran hurler.
David Wright, 3B, N.Y. Mets ($4,850 at PHI): Wright is expected to return this week, and it's great timing since he'll meet Harang in the middle of the week. Wright is a lifetime .433 hitter (13-for-30) with four doubles, a homer, eight RBI and a 1.193 OPS all-time against the veteran righty.
DJ LeMahieu, 2B, Colorado (at PIT): LeMahieu will be facing a southpaw, and that's usually good news. He is hitting .326 in 95 at-bats against left-handed pitching with a decent .749 OPS.
Adam Jones, OF, Baltimore ($5,150 at TEX): Over the past few seasons Jones has been making a living scorching the ball against left-handed pitchers. He is hitting .330 (31-for-94) with seven doubles, six homers, 19 RBI and a .965 OPS against LHP.
Houston at N.Y. Yankees - OR - Pittsburgh at Miami (MLB Network, 7:05 p.m.)
St. Louis at Arizona (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m.)
Houston at N.Y. Yankees - OR - Minnesota at Tampa Bay (MLB Network, 8:05 p.m.)
Houston at N.Y. Yankees (MLB Network, 1:05 p.m.)
L.A. Angels at Detroit - OR - Minnesota at Tampa Bay (MLB Network, 7:10 p.m.)
Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (ESPN, 10:15 p.m.)
Baltimore at Kansas City (MLB Network, 2:10 p.m.)
San Diego at Washington (MLB Network, 7:05 p.m.)
Colorado at Pittsburgh - OR - Boston at N.Y. Mets (MLB Network, 7:10 p.m.)
Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers - OR - St. Louis at San Francisco (MLB Network, 10:15 p.m.)
Detroit at Toronto (MLB Network. 1:07 p.m.)
Boston at N.Y. Mets (FOX Sports 1, 4:05 p.m.)
N.Y. Yankees at Atlanta (FOX Sports 1, 7:08 p.m.)
Baltimore at Texas (MLB Network, 8:05 p.m.)
Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers (MLB Network, 9:10 p.m.)
Boston at N.Y. Mets (TBS, 1:10 p.m.)
Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers (ESPN, 8:08 p.m.)
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