When you’re working on rankings, it is very important to establish tiers. However, it is rare that only one member of a tier remains when it is your turn, thus forcing you to make decisions between players that are comparable on many levels. How do you choose?
Well, you could take the player you feel is “safer,” but that sort of risk (be it volatile stats or a history riddled with injuries) is likely already accounted for in your initial ranks. The same train of thought holds for the ballpark they play their home games in or the teammates that hit around them in the lineup. So how about a formula to help you out?
I’ve got you covered. Whether you are trying to decide between star players in the early rounds or a roster filler in the late rounds … there’s a chart for that. Here’s a look at the production at each lineup spot since 2010.
There are multiple websites that forecast lineups. Why not use this information to put yourself in the most favorable position statistically. The “annual points” were calculated by using a standard point league structure and averaged out over the last five seasons for all 30 MLB teams. The “points” system was used in this study, but the data can be applied to all formats, as the evaluation process isn’t going to change. A Roto league may not reward a double more than a single, but a double increases the odds of your player recording a run or RBI, and that increases value. This chart could help you break a tie between three ultra-productive shortstops (Hanley Ramirez, Troy Tulowitzki, and Ian Desmond) that are currently ranked in succession on FantasyPros. Or help bring some clarity when selecting between Kyle Seager and Evan Longoria to fill your hot corner spot. But maybe you’ve got a decision between two cleanup hitters, is there a position that has held the production advantage since 2010?
The odds of your tiered players playing the same position and batting in the same spot in their respective lineup are slim, making this a solid tiebreaker in most cases. This table could help you break the Paul Goldschmidt/Andrew McCutchen tie, or decide if maybe Yasiel Puig is worth your trust over Adrian Beltre.
If you’re anything like me, you’ve probably already attempted to combine these two charts in an effort to build the perfect hitter. Allow me to save you some time …
|Position – Batting Order||Points||Tier|
|1B – 5||24441.4||4|
Feel a little more comfortable about deciding between Adam Jones and Edwin Encarnacion? What about Freddie Freeman and Justin Upton? These tables should not be used to blindly rank players, but in a pinch, they add enough value to justify breaking a tie when you finalize your ranks within your tiers. After all, we are in the business of dealing with numbers, so why not use every last one of them?