Fantasy Impact of Tulowitzki/Reyes Trade
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The Troy Tulowitzki trade rumors finally came to fruition but he landed in the last place anyone thought he’d be sent, as the Toronto Blue Jays sent SS Jose Reyes, reliever Miguel Castro and a pair of minor league pitching prospects to the Colorado Rockies for Reyes and reliever LaTroy Hawkins. From a baseball standpoint, the addition of Tulowitzki gives the Blue Jays an instant upgrade both offensively and defensively. The Blue Jays offense already scores a MLB leading 5.28 runs per game, well ahead of the Yankees (4.65) and Rockies (4.58), the next closest teams.
[caption id="attachment_90814" align="alignright" width="333"] Troy Tulowitzki will thrive in the Rogers Centre, his new home park. Photo Credit: sec116pix[/caption]
Tulowitzki’s new home park, the Rogers Centre, is only slightly less hitter-friendly than Coors Field. According to park factor statistics for 2015, the Rogers Centre has a HR factor of 1.157, just behind Coors Field at 1.174. This is good news for Fantasy owners of Tulowitzki who were concerned that moving out of Coors Field would greatly impact his production. There may be some slight drop off in batting average, though, as he will be switching from the NL to the AL, which typically affects hitters more than pitchers. However, Tulowitzki is one of the best all-around hitters in the game and he should be able to make the necessary adjustments rather quickly to minimize the damage. This season, he’s batting .305 with 12 HRs, 46 runs scored and 53 RBIs. Overall, he really couldn’t have landed in a better situation, as he’ll be playing for a contending team in a hitter-friendly environment in which he is one of several highly productive players. Tulowitzki’s production numbers are down across the board, but he is still among the top shortstops in MLB and Fantasy.
Obviously, Reyes also benefits somewhat from the move to Coors Field. Power really isn’t a major part of Reyes’ game, as he has just four HRs this season and hasn’t hit more than 11 HRs in any season since 2008. The lineup around Reyes won’t be quite as potent as it was in Toronto; in fact, depending on what other deals the Rockies make, the lineup could be quite diminished, which wouldn’t be good for a player whose main production comes from getting on base, stealing bases and scoring runs. Reyes has an OBP of .322 this season, which is less than ideal for a leadoff batter. This season, Reyes is batting .285 with four HRs, 36 runs scored, 34 RBIs and 16 stolen bases. If the Rockies sell off more of their power hitting base, Reyes won’t score as many runs and his Fantasy value will decrease. Indeed, he should have more counting stats being in the Toronto offense, so the move to the Rockies will almost certainly see his production decrease.
LaTroy Hawkins give the Blue Jays a veteran presence in the bullpen. He’s appeared in 24 games for the Rockies this season with an ERA of 3.63. Hawkins saved two games for Colorado before he was replaced in the closer role. While he could close for Toronto, it is extremely likely that the team has another trade in the works that would bring a top closer to the team. That leaves Hawkins with little or no Fantasy value going forward.
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