The average combined score in simulations is 8.7 runs. AccuScore would lean slightly towards the UNDER, however, given the quality of pitching on the mound Wednesday.
The projected score is 5-4, in favor of the Cubs.
Head to Head:
Chicago won game 1 of the current series on Tuesday, 5-3, before squeaking out a 12-11 victory Wednesday.
Samardzija on the Mound:
The Giants will look to Jeff Samardzija to keep them competitive as they remain set on the postseason. He's gone 3-2 (2.41 ERA) in seven starts since the All-Star break, and is more than familiar with this stadium. His last time out at Chicago -- back in 2017 -- saw him give him three home runs in seven innings. Doesn't give the promising outlook for SF, but he has been consistent on the road of late. Samardzija is 5-0 (2.66 ERA) in his last seven road starts.
Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has only recorded one win in his last 10 starts, but it's important to understand the context behind those numbers. He has the second-lowest run support in the league at just 3.63 runs per start. For his career, he is 3-0 (2.79 ERA) in three home starts vs the Giants.
Chicago is 11-5 in Kyle Hendricks' last 16 starts at home, and 10-2 in his last 12 starts overall on Thursdays. Chicago has also lost just five times in the last 21 matchups vs San Francisco.
Jeff Samardzija is projected to pitch five-to-six innings, giving up three runs, six hits and one home run. On average, the Cubs score three runs against Samardzija in simulations.
For the Cubs, Kyle Hendricks is projected to pitch six innings, giving up two runs and six hits.
Analyst's Pick: Cubs to win.
Odds indicate there's a 62 percent chance the Cubs win Thursday's matchup. Simulations have that probability at 65+ percent, suggesting even more confidence on the home side. Chicago winning is a three-star (out of four) hot-trend pick.
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