This column appears courtesy of MyBookie.ag
We’re headed down the final stretch of the Major League Baseball regular season, as all teams have less than 20 games remaining. But it’s certainly not time to let off the gas now if you’ve been wagering all season. In fact, it’s time to build up a little bankroll heading into the postseason, as you hunt for greenbacks in October.
1. Indians over Tigers (-1 1/2,-200)
You will have to eat a ton of chalk to bet Cleveland on Tuesday, as they try to tie the Oakland Athletics for the longest winning streak in the past 50 seasons. It will be worth it, however. The Indians roll out ace RHP Corey Kluber in the quest for their 20th consecutive victory, and he’ll be opposed by LHP Matthew Boyd.
Boyd enters the game with a 5-9 record, 5.93 ERA and 1.69 WHIP across 21 starts and one relief appearance this season, and he has a 6.24 ERA in 11 road outings. He is also a dismal 2-7 with a 6.75 ERA and .340 opponent batting average under the lights in 13 starts and one relief outing. The Tigers have dropped six straight starts with Boyd toeing the slab, while going 0-4 across his past four outings against divisional foes. The Tigers are 6-18 over their past 24 against right-handed starting pitchers, too.
On the flip side, Kluber has been on fire since the All-Star break, going 8-1 with a 2.30 ERA and .180 opponent batting average. The Tigers have hit him for 13 earned runs over 22.1 innings while batting .283 overall vs. the ace. His 5.24 ERA over four outings and rough opponent average are actually the highest against any opponent this season. His poor starts came earlier in the season, however. In his most recent start against the Tigers on Sept. 2, it was Kluber allowing just one run over eight innings in a win. The Tribe is 37-15 over his past 52 starts and 21-7 across his past 28 at Progressive Field. The Indians are also 15-3 over their past 18 home outings.
2. Orioles over Blue Jays (-130)
The O’s roll out RHP Dylan Bundy against RHP Joe Biagini north of the border. Baltimore has rattled off victories in seven of Bundy’s past eight outings, including 4-1 over his past five on the road and 4-1 in his past five against teams with a losing record. Conversely, the Blue Jays have dropped each of Biagini’s past five outings while going 0-6 over his past six at home and 0-5 in the past five inside the division.
The O’s have also rattled off seven wins over their past seven trips to the Great White North while going an impressive 11-5 over the past 16 meetings overall. Baltimore is a much better value than Cleveland if you’re not comfortable eating that kind of chalk. As an added bonus, the ‘under’ is 10-2 over the past 12 in this series in Toronto, and 19-6-1 in the past 26 meetings overall.
3. Pirates over Brewers (+100)
The Bucs are a solid value at even money in Cream City. While Pittsburgh has dropped five in a row and 16 of their past 21 on the road, they roll out ace RHP Gerrit Cole to stem the tide of losing. The Pirates are 8-1 over Cole’s past nine outings on the road. It won’t be easy, as the Brewers are 8-2 over their past 10 home games and 7-2 in their past nine at home vs. RHP. However, they’re 0-4 in their past four tries against teams with a losing overall mark.
The ‘under’ has dominated this series lately, too. The under is 12-3-1 in the past 16 meetings at Miller Park, and 20-5-2 in the past 27 overall in the series. The under is also 6-2-2 in the past 10 starts by Cole against Milwaukee. The under is 7-1 in the past eight on the road for Pittsburgh, and 3-0-1 in the past four at Miller Park for the home team.
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