Daily Fantasy Sports
MLB Daily Analysis
01:37 PM, June 13, 2022
MLB DFS: Aaron Nola, Alex Wood Top Optimal Pitchers for Monday
We have a new page to offer where the sims will be updated throughout the day. You can find it here, the link will be the same every day (for bookmarking purposes), and all the tables are pre-sorted for you.
Pitchers with the highest optimal probabilities: Aaron Nola, Alex Wood
Aaron Nola is coming into tonight’s start against the Miami Marlins off a gem against the Milwaukee Brewers, where he didn’t allow a run over eight innings pitched. He’ll be facing a rather confident Marlins club that has won five of their past six and ranks right outside the top ten in most offensive categories over the past two weeks. We know what pitcher Nola can be when pitching to his ceiling. However, inconsistent performances often get in his way. Paired with his high strikeout ceiling and the fact that he is currently walking opponents at the lowest clip of his career, the inconsistent Nola performances have been further apart. Nola is expecting to eclipse 30% ownership on our slate while being priced over $10,000 on DraftKings, but there is still reason to believe Nola can put up a gem as his xERA is at the lowest point of his career, making him a worthy play.
Alex Wood is facing off against a Kansas City Royals offense with the fewest wins in baseball and ranks near the bottom of every offensive category. Wood is not a high-caliber pitcher and is often at the top of our optimal board, but only against favorable opponents. He has enough in the tank to put up a strong performance, with an xERA hanging below 4.00 and an xFIP at the lowest point of his career. His strikeout numbers are not eye-popping, but he should be able to compensate for 5-6 strikeouts, which can be enough if we can get roughly six innings while only allowing a run or two. How feasible is that? Well, through eleven starts, Wood has pitched more than six innings once this season and allowed an earned run or less in three, so the numbers aren’t in our favor despite the poor opponent. Wood’s affordable $8,300 price tag on DraftKings is enticing against this offense but fading him still seems more valuable given the expected high ownership and uncertainty.
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and security features of the website. These cookies do not store any personal information.
Any cookies that may not be particularly necessary for the website to function and is used specifically to collect user personal data via analytics, ads, other embedded contents are termed as non-necessary cookies. It is mandatory to procure user consent prior to running these cookies on your website.