The New York Yankees will look to bounce back from a 7-0 thrashing Monday as they get set for another matchup with the Texas Rangers. Monday’s result for the Yankees’ first shutout in over a year.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
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Texas Rangers: +270
New York Yankees: -320
Texas Rangers +1.5: +144
New York Yankees -1.5: -168
Over 10: -108
Under 10: -114
What to Watch For
Getting shutout — with sort of a lineup — is a rarity for the Yankees. The Rangers have been above par in terms of pitching recently, allowing just 28 runs in their last nine games — but Monday night’s 7-0 win definitely felt abnormal. They are still 12 games out of the second wildcard slot, but still seem to be playing with conviction as they have now won three of their last four.
Dominating of Late:
Monday marked the Rangers’ third shutout in just their last seven games.
The Yankees’ offense will look to prove a point Tuesday — at least that’s the assumption. The Yankees have outscored their last three opponents by an average of +4.4 runs in James Paxton’s last three starts.
These two sides have met just once this season; Monday night seeing a 7-0 result for the away side.
Edinson Volquez is projected to pitch a shade over four innings in his start for the Rangers, averaging six strikeouts. In sims, he gives up six hits and four-to-five runs, with the Yankees averaging 1.38 HRs per sim off him.
James Paxton is projected to give up six hits and two-to-three runs in six innings pitched. He averages an impressive 11 strikeouts in sims, giving up just 0.89 HRs per sim.
Yankees -1.5; The Over.
Betting on the Spread:
Odds indicate there’s a 63 percent chance the Yankees cover a -1.5 run line spread. That happens in close to 67 percent of simulations. The average score in sims is 7.5 – 4.2.
Betting on the Total:
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick here on the total . Odds indicate there’s a 52 percent chance the total combined score gets to at least 11 runs. That happens in a similar percentage of simulations. The average combined score in sims is 11.7 runs.
-9/2: Nationals (L)
-8/30: Nationals U9.5 (L)
-8/28: Nationals -1.5 (W)
-8/26: Phillies -130 (W)
-8/23: Reds – 108 (L), Reds +1.5 -225 (W)
-8/22: Cubs -165 (W)
-8/21: SD-CIN o8.5 (L)
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