Fantasy NASCAR: Joey Logano Will Stay Hot At Kansas Speedway
Now that we’re into the second leg of The Chase, the debate over using drivers that are still competing versus not still competing heats up. Jimmie Johnson ($10,400) and his 15 Top 10s in 18 races at Kansas Speedway is listed as the fifth most expensive driver on DraftKings, which, in a regular week, would be good value. But Johnson has been bounced, and the question remains whether the No. 48 driver, and every non-Chase driver, will be motivated to win. And to clarify, this question only applies to the upper-echelon of non-Chase drivers. My personal opinion is that when the prices are close, the tiebreaker is always going to be motivation. Johnson and Co. are racing for pride. The 12 drivers remaining in contention are racing for pride and the Sprint Cup championship. I’ll take the latter despite how sparkling some past stats may shine.
Timing is everything and right now, Joey Logano’s ($10,600) timing couldn’t be better. He’s fresh off a dominant win, leading 227 laps at Charlotte Motor Speedway last weekend, meaning he’s already advanced to next round. This psychological advantage allows Logano to take some gambles here and there with no fear of making a mistake. It also doesn’t hurt that Kansas has always been one of Logano’s best tracks. In his last four starts at the site, he’s posted one win (October 2014) and four Top 5s, leading at least 29 laps in each race. Logano is the premier Fantasy play across all formats this weekend.
Another top tier option at Kansas is Martin Truex Jr. ($10,300) who currently sits third in The Chase standings. He finished second in the 2012 set at Kansas and led 95 laps in the May 2015 race. In addition, he ranks fifth in Fastest Laps Run (179). Truex Jr. will come with some value in DFS, as he’s not as sexy as some of the other top options. He is a must-start in Tiered/Grouping formats. And if you’re only down to one, use it. There won’t be a better start for the No. 78 driver than this.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($8,300) at the driver average in DFS? Sign me up! Junior finished third in the May race, and has led at least one lap in four of his last five Kansas appearances. Despite having two Top 5s in his last five Cup starts, the guys at DraftKings just will not budge on his price point. That’s good news for the DFS bargain hunters, as Junior has very little downside in any race in which he’s competing. Outside of DFS, however, I’d stay away this weekend.
Kyle Larson ($7,900) has finished 21st or better in each of his last six Cup starts. In three starts at Kansas, he’s never finished worse than 15th, with a second place finish at the site in this race last season, and three laps led back in May. With 85 Fastest Laps Run and an Average Finish inside the Top 10 (9.7), Larson is an excellent DFS value and Tiered/Grouping format option.
Ryan Newman ($7,300) has recorded back-to-back Top 10s at Kansas (sixth and 10th) with a place-differential of +16 in his last two starts. It’s a puzzling price point for a driver who hasn’t finished outside the Top 20 since the August 2 race at Pocono Raceway. Newman is a consistent driver who’s shown a proclivity for getting hot at this time of year. He will serve Fantasy owners best in DFS.
Paul Menard ($6,500) may be out of Chase contention, but he’s still a great value play this weekend. In six starts since October 2012, Menard has posted one Top 5, three Top 10s and six Top 20s with an Average Finish of 10.7. He even led six laps in that October 2012 event. Menard has a very low floor, making for an intriguing DFS play and sneaky Tiered/Grouping format option.
Michael Annett ($5,500) is an intriguing low end option at Kansas. He’s posted three consecutive Top 25s with a place-differential of +25. He’s a decent option to round out top heavy lineups and is a must-start on the C-List for Tiered/Grouping formats.
Ryan Blaney ($5,300) finished 14th last weekend at Charlotte, an extremely impressive showing for a driver priced this low. Typically, Blaney has been priced too high for my tastes, but now he’s priced well below what I’d project, which is just fine by me. He’s competed in four 1.5-mile intermediate races this season. Two ended with DNFs (engine) and he has an Average Finish of 16.5 in the other two. The value here is too enticing to pass up, making Blaney a must-start in all formats.
Here are my Fantasy NASCAR lineups for this week:
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
NASCAR Fantasy Live
|Martin Truex Jr.|
Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing
|Joey Logano||Matt Kenseth|
|B-List||Martin Truex Jr.||Paul Menard||Kyle Larson|
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