Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Betting Model Preview
The Dallas Mavericks will look to close out their first-round series on the road tonight in Utah, as they enter this Game 6 with a 3-2 series lead over the Jazz.
Luka Doncic and the Mavs put the Jazz on the brink of elimination in Game 5 after a 102-77 dominating victory. Doncic poured in a game-high 33 points in the win, while Jalen Brunson continued his great series and added 24.
Donovan Mitchell had some injury question marks about his status ahead of Game 6, but he’s expected to play tonight.
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz NBA Game Information
Dallas Mavericks (3-2) | Utah Jazz (2-3)
Date: 04/28/2022 | Time: 10:00 PM
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah | Venue: Vivint Arena
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Spread Open: Mavericks +3/ Jazz -3 | Current: Mavericks -1 (-106)/ Jazz +1 (-114)
Game Total Open: 211 | Current: 210.5
Moneyline Open: Mavericks +124/ Jazz -146 | Current: Mavericks -116/ Jazz -106
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Dallas Mavericks +1600
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Utah Jazz +6000
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Analysis
Since Luka Doncic has returned to the lineup for the Mavericks, he’s put up exceptional numbers, averaging 31.5 points and 11.5 rebounds per game, as the series has clearly shifted in their favor as a result. Even though the Jazz have won two games in this series, they just haven’t been able to find any consistency on a game-to-game basis, which has been a problem for them in the playoffs in years past as well. The Mavericks seem to be getting healthy and coming together at the right time of the year and that makes them a problem in the West, with one of the best players in basketball taking his game to another level.
The SportsGrid betting model gives the visiting Mavericks a 59.55% win probability for tonight’s Game 6, which is exactly the type of trend this series has followed. Game 5 saw a blowout in favor of the Mavericks and it sort of felt like the Jazz had no answers moving forward in this series, which points towards Dallas in this spot tonight. The model gives the Mavericks a four-star rating on the moneyline to close out this series, which should inspire some confidence in Doncic & Company tonight.
The total has also been something to consider in this series, with the model strongly backing the over in this Game 6 with a five-star rating. What we’ve seen in this series totals of 192, 214, 244, 199, and 179, with tonight’s line being set at 211, before dropping slightly to 210.5.
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game Predictions and Picks
SG Betting Model Win Probability: Dallas Mavericks (59.55%) vs Utah Jazz (40.45%)
SG Betting Model ML Star Rating: DAL 4 Stars
SG Betting Model Spread Star Rating: DAL 2 Stars
SG Betting Model Total Star Rating: OVER 5 Stars
Check out SportsGrid’s NBA Betting Model for our top picks on spreads, moneyline, and totals on every NBA Playoff Game!
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and security features of the website. These cookies do not store any personal information.
Any cookies that may not be particularly necessary for the website to function and is used specifically to collect user personal data via analytics, ads, other embedded contents are termed as non-necessary cookies. It is mandatory to procure user consent prior to running these cookies on your website.