Magic Top Pick Banchero Favored to Win NBA Rookie of the Year

The Orlando Magic made Paolo Banchero the first overall selection in the 2022 NBA Draft, and the 19-year-old is the odds-on favorite to win Rookie of the Year in 2022-23. 

Line movement (open, current):

  • Paolo Banchero +300 –> +350
  • Jabari Smith Jr. +350 –> +550
  • Chet Holmgren +475 –> +375

In what was a very dramatic night surrounding the first overall pick with plenty of line movement present, the Magic ultimately decided on Banchero. The forward played two games in the NBA’s Summer League for the Magic and averaged 20 points per game before the team eventually shut him down to see what some of their other prospects could do.

His ceiling is high and there’s a lot to like about his fit with the Magic. BetMGM currently has him as the odds-on favorite to win Rookie of the Year, with Chet Holmgren gaining ground.

Jabari Smith Jr. was talked up for a long time as the top prospect in the 2022 Draft, and after falling to the number three pick with the Houston Rockets, there will likely be a chip on his shoulder as he enters his rookie campaign. Bettors, possibly having been burned by wagering on the Auburn product to go No. 1 overall, are backing off Smith for ROY.

Highest Ticket%

  • Jaden Ivy 37.5%
  • Chet Holmgren 17.0%
  • Paolo Banchero 10.0%
  • Bennedict Mathurin 10.0 %

While many considered this a three-player draft at the top, a large chunk of tickets have come in towards Detriot’s Jaden Ivey. The Purdue product, selected fifth overall by the Pistons, is widely considered the most dynamic guard in this class.

Highest Handle%

  • Chet Holmgren 25.3%
  • Keegan Murray 23.6%
  • Jaden Ivey 22.4%

Looking at the money, three players have combined to hold more than 70% of the handle.

After a few spectacular performances in Summer League, Holmgren currently owns the highest handle percentage. The second overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft should be a great fit alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in Oklahoma City. Holmgren has the tools to be a foundational piece for this organization moving forward. 

He’s followed by Keegan Murray who has impressed this summer as well for the Sacramento Kings. Ivey’s handle is way lower than his ticket count, which indicates a lot of public money. They round out the top five in ROY odds, with Ivey at +650 and Murray at +750

The most significant liabilities to win the award for the book are currently Jaden Ivey, Chet Holmgren, and Keegan Murray

Below you can find the top five NBA players who own the highest odds to win Rookie of the Year in 2022-23 on the BetMGM Sportsbook

Player Opening Odds Current Odds
Paolo Banchero 300 350
Chet Holmgren 475 375
Jabari Smith Jr. 350 550
Jaden Ivey 600 650
Keegan Murray 900 750