NBA DFS Values for the Rest of the Season
There are approximately 30 days left of NBA basketball as the 2017-2018 season ends on April 11. The landscape of Daily Fantasy lineups on a nightly basis looks like Lebron and... Or Giannis and…Which makes sense. If one wants to win in a DFS tournament, he/she feels like they have the best chance with a guy that can get them 40-50 points at least. Of course, that Fantasy player will have to pay up for such a superstar and will certainly sacrifice talent at other positions. This is when that person will have to get creative; finding NBA DFS values due to injury or diving deep for a low-cost guy with a favorable match-up.
This is the general formula in DFS basketball. Build around one or two studs with projected value based on cost, matchup, and injury. Lebron James is currently $11,500 on Draftkings (as of March 9) and while “The King” has been playing exceptionally (even for him) over the last month, there are value plays that cost a few thousand less that will allow daily contest participants to be more flexible with their lineups. For example, Steph Curry exited last night’s games with an ankle injury and the Warriors play the Blazers tonight. Curry has been ruled out and Kevin Durant is only $8,900 on Draftkings. In this situation, it would benefit DFS players to go with Durant over Lebron so they can save some money for valuable assets.
With about 20 games left in the season, let's take a look at some guys that are going to finish the 2017 campaign on a strong note and will save Fantasy players some cost as they formulate lineups.
3 ROS NBA DFS Values
Ben Simmons, G, PHI
While Donovan Mitchell has made a case for Rookie of the Year, the Jazz will likely miss the playoffs which hurts his chances of reaching that achievement. However, Ben Simmons hurts Mitchels chances even more as he has had a stellar rookie campaign after missing all of last season with an injury. Being around the league was surely advantageous for the former LSU Tiger while sitting out the 2016 campaign and it has shown through his poised style of play.
The point guard/small forward does most of the ball handling for the Philadelphia 76ers which is highlighted by his 479 assists (fourth in the league) and 7.6 Assists Per Game (fifth in the league). Simmons is also ninth in the NBA in steals with 1.7 per contest and averages 7.7 Rebounds Per Game to along with a 22.6 Usage Rate. Over his last month Simmons has 533.1 Fantasy Points which is good enough for eighth in Fantasy Basketball over that time-span. Compare that to Russell Westbrook who has 491 FP in the same amount of time, but costs $11,800 on Draftkings and $12,000 on Fanduel. Simmons only trails Westbrook in Fantasy Points Per Game 49.1 to 42.6 but only costs 8,000 on Draftkings and $8,800 on Fanduel. Simmons can be used with confidence in Daily Fantasy as his ownership will be less than the bigger names, but his production will be comparable in Fantasy.
Jrue Holiday, G, NOP
Anthony Davis is tearing up the NBA right now, racking up historical statistics and leading the Pelicans to one of the top seeds in the western conference playoff bracket. As if Jrue Holiday's brilliant 2017-18 campaign wasn't already flying under the radar in terms of Fantasy production, Davis has made Holiday an afterthought recently. But, ever since Demarcus Cousins went down with a torn achilles, AD is not the only Pelican that has seen a boost in production.
Over the last month Holiday is averaging 45.6 FPPG. That is more than Paul George, Bradley Beal, Joel Embiid, and Andre Drummond. During this time Holiday has averaged 23.5 PPG, 7.7APG, and 4.3 RPG. He has benefited from constant double teams of Davis and has been asked to put the ball in the hole more since Cousins has been out. Holiday is the perfect piece to put alongside Davis for a nice Pelican stack if the matchup is favorable as the point guard only costs $8,500 on Draftkings and Fanduel. Or, to save some bucks Holiday can be used with two of the other players on this list to expand value on a given lineup. Although Davis (like Lebron and James Harden) are tough to pass on in Daily Fantasy, guys like Holiday can return value and help create production in other spots in DFS.
— NBA Draft (@NBADraft) March 8, 2018
Lonzo Ball, G, LAL
One of the most controversial players this season (by proxy to a certain family member), Lonzo has had an impressive rookie season despite being under constant criticism. For the season Lonzo is averaging 10.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 6.9 APG. But, still critics have blasted Ball for his unorthodox shooting form which has translated to just 36.9 percent from the field in his first season. As counterintuitive as it may be, Ball missing time with a knee injury could have been the best thing for the young superstar. The former UCLA Bruin missed over a month of time, which allowed him to work on his shooting without having to prepare for a game. In a small sample size of six games since Lonzo has been back for the Lakers, he is shooting 46.3 percent, including 50 percent from long distance.
More importantly for Fantasy purposes, he is filling up the stat sheet and has produced 44.1 FPPG since his return from injury. While Ball was on the sidelines, the Lakers traded Jordan clarkson and both Josh Hart and Brandon Ingram sustained injuries which have made them miss multiple games. Ball will continue to see the bulk of the ball handling and be asked to score more (particularly from three-point range) for the remainder of the season and he is currently just $7,600 on Draftkings and $7,500 on Fanduel.
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Kelvin Kuo
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