Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Model Preview

The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks will collide for Game 3 of their Western Conference series tonight from the American Airlines Center.

Chris Paul led the Suns to a Game 2 victory by a score of 129-109 to give Phoenix a 2-0 edge in the series. Paul posted 28 points to go along with eight assists, while Devin Booker poured in a team-high 30 points.

Luka Doncic once again had himself a game with 35 points, but it wasn’t enough for the Mavericks to even keep the contest close.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Game Information

Phoenix Suns (5-2) | Dallas Mavericks (4-3)

Date: 05/06/2022 | Time: 09:30 PM

Location: Dallas, Texas | Venue: American Airlines Center

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds

Moneyline Open: Suns -116/ Mavericks -102 | Current: Suns -116/ Mavericks -102

Spread Open: Suns -1/ Mavericks +1 | Current: Suns -1/ Mavericks +1

Game Total Open: 218.5 | Current: 219.5

Odds to Win NBA Championship

Odds to Win NBA Championship: Phoenix Suns +200

Odds to Win NBA Championship: Dallas Mavericks +5500

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Suns had a bit of a scare in their opening-round series victory against the New Orleans Pelicans, but they’ve found a lot more success in Round 2 against the Dallas Mavericks, where they’ve won two straight games. Phoenix shot an absurd 64.5% from the floor in Game 2, which also included 52% from three, and that’s the type of numbers that will lead to a big victory like they had in Game 2. The Mavericks were still able to shoot above 40% from three in the losing effort, but they’ll need more efficiency and a better defensive effort if they hope to cut the series deficit in half tonight. It’s become clear that even with these elite efforts from Doncic, who’s combined for 80 points in the first two games, that they need more from their supporting cast, and they just haven’t gotten that yet.

The SportsGrid betting model gives the home team Mavericks a 51.70% win probability for tonight’s Game 2, but there’s hardly any confidence in them on the spread or moneyline. The Mavericks are given a 0.5-star rating on the moneyline, and 1.5-star rating on the spread, which shows there isn’t exactly a ton of data pointing to them in this spot tonight, which isn’t hard to believe with how well the Suns have played in the series first two contests. With the spread having the Suns as one-point road favorites, it’s essentially picking the winner of this game outright, meaning you should likely side with the results you’ve seen from the Suns so far in this series. The model also gives the over a three-star rating, with the line tonight set at 219.5. The first two games of this series have seen 235 and 237 points scored, so you can definitely make a case that the over is the right play for Game 3.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game Predictions and Picks

SG Betting Model Win Probability: Phoenix Suns (48.30%) vs Dallas Mavericks (51.70%)

SG Betting Model ML Star Rating: DAL 0.5 Stars

SG Betting Model Spread Star Rating: DAL 1.5 Stars

SG Betting Model Total Star Rating: OVER 3 Stars