Seriously Though, Are The Sixers Going To Win A Single Game This Season?
The Sixers are 0-13 to start the season. Odds are, eventually, they will win a basketball game. They will probably even win a couple. They may not surpass the record-lowest number of wins in a full NBA season (nine, set by this same franchise in 1973), but at some point they will notch one in the win column. We just have no idea when that might be, since the team isn't favored in a single game for the rest of the season:
Your weekly @numberFire update: Sixers favored in ZERO of remaining 69 games. Best win odds are 44.6% on March 30 at home against ... Lakers
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) November 24, 2014
Of course, this isn't the same thing as saying the Sixers will go 0-82 -- they only have a 10.6 percent change of losing their next six games and going 0-19, which would be the worst start in NBA history. Their best shot to avoid that fate is against the Timberwolves on Dec. 3, which would give the Sixers a sparkling 1-17 record.
After that, slightly more winnable games against the Celtics (game 24) and Magic (game 26) might help the Sixers avoid tying their own record from last season of consecutive losses. But to give you an idea of how bad the Sixers are, let numberFire go more in-depth for a moment:
...We need to compare those nERD scores. nERD is our metric for projecting wins, and it is ultimately indicative of a team's expected win percentage.
Naturally, the league average is 50. Philadelphia's nERD is 1.8.
For comparison's sake, note that the Celtics have a nERD of 44.5; the Magic 37.8.
Might the Sixers buck "odds" and "probabilities" and post a win tomorrow? Of course. Hell, the Spurs might rest their entire team when they play the Sixers on Dec. 1 and hand Philadelphia a victory. But as this losing streak lengthens, don't expect teams to take their foot off the pedal when they play this group of scrubs. No one wants to be the first to lose to the worst team in recent memory. Which means the Sixers might be winless for way, way longer than any other team has been winless before. A 0-82 record is nearly impossible... but not completely out of the question.
Photo via Getty
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