Every summer, we read about the next breakout players on their way to Fantasy Football stardom. Their ADP kept on rising and we kept on drafting – even though, we absolutely knew better than to draft them where we took them.
Whether it was one weird stat we kept coming back to (This guy averaged 22 yards per catch when this backup QB was under center!), or it’s the inheritance of a previously high-scoring starting gig, we should have known better than to not trust our instincts about certain players.
While we’re only five weeks into the season, we can start warming up the “Fantasy Football Busts” labels for these players. (I’m avoiding injured players and those dealing with monster suspensions, like Adrian Peterson and Ray Rice, because we couldn’t have foreseen that.)
5 Players We Regret Drafting Where We Did
For the most part, each of these players were drafted as starters in standard Fantasy leagues – or they were drafted high enough that they were expected to see plenty of action in your lineup. We looked at preseason ADP over at MyFantasyLeague.com and the current “Rest of Season Rankings” over at FantasyPros.com.
Montee Ball, RB, Denver (2.04 ADP, Current ROS Ranking: RB22): Why would we think that a guy that wasn’t anything special in his first season in Denver was going to suddenly be awesome in Year 2? Luckily, I steered clear of Ball for the most part because I didn’t take the bait. He was an excellent college running back, but so far, in the NFL, he’s very meh.
Toby Gerhart, RB, Jacksonville (5.05 ADP, Current ROS Ranking: RB37): Why would we think the backup running back for a team that would never really give him many touches, would become a Fantasy starter just because he signed with the worst offense in the NFL? If you drafted him in Round 5 or sooner, you deserve to already be looking ahead to 2015.
Cordarrelle Patterson, RB, Minnesota (4.06 ADP, Current ROS Ranking: WR35): This one ranked up there with Ball. Patterson had a below average quarterback (with a rookie quarterback behind him), a new offensive coordinator, a new head coach, and a penchant for being wildly inconsistent. How was he among the top 17 wide receivers drafted this summer? Yes, he’s dynamic and Alshon Jeffery exploded in Year 2, but Patterson was a huge project entering the league, unlike Jeffery.
Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee (11.03 ADP, Current ROS Ranking: WR44): Once again, the second-year WR theory came into effect here, as people pointed out his height and his ability to leap up for 50/50 balls (four touchdowns last year). We forgot he only caught 18 passes in 14 games last season.
Eric Ebron, TE, Detroit (13.10 ADP, Current ROS Ranking: TE20): What we knew — Tim Wright had just posted the best Fantasy season for a rookie tight end since Rob Gronkowski in 2011. Yet, Wright still had just the 13th-most Fantasy points at the position. Rookie tight ends are rarely start-worthy, outside of bye weeks and injury problems. Drafting Ebron as a Fantasy starter was a horrible idea.
Who else do you think we should have known better about? Tom Brady? LeGarrette Blount? Doug Martin?