Anthony Amico’s Best Ball Fantasy Football DRAFT Portfolio
Player advice is big this time of year for fantasy football. There are tons of great articles out there about who you should take in your drafts, strategies to employ, and cheap values that can win your league. A lot of them are here at RotoExperts! But sometimes it also helps to see exactly who someone is drafting. That can give some great information into who the most valuable players are, and what kind of draft strategies your favorite writers are using. Looking at DRAFT Best Ball Fantasy Football portfolio of someone else can help you see where your drafts might be falling short.
To that end, I’d like to provide you with a current look at the players I have been selecting in my DRAFT best ball leagues. I have drafted 22 teams so far, and the pace should only pick up as the summer goes on. Let’s take a look at some of my favorite players so far!
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Quarterbacks[table “2801” not found /]
There’s a very common theme with the QBs I’ve invested in so far: rushing ability. Of the QBs I have more than one share of so far this year, only one of them isn’t known to have rushing ability. 47% of 30 point QB games last year on DRAFT came with either 30 yards rushing or a rushing TD. 19% had both! Finding someone who can run is a major boost.
Winston is the pure passer of this group and has been a major value to open the year. He is the QB11 in ADP but is our consensus QB3. The Bruce Arians factor is real.
The other QBs I’ve taken have been to complete stacks for the most part, giving me some extra week-to-week upside.
Running Backs[table “2802” not found /]
If you’ve been following me for any length of time, you know that I am a major proponent of Zero RB. My co-workers are as well and just released a fantastic Zero RB guide to get you started if you are new to the strategy, or looking to take it to the next level.
As a result of my strategy, most of the RBs I have in high volume are later round draft picks. Edmonds is someone I have in massive quantities, and I don’t plan on slowing down. He is the true backup to David Johnson, and should inherit a workhorse role if anything happens to him. Additionally, he could lock up a regular role in the offense, especially since he can catch passes. That is a premium in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense.
The top of my list is flooded with handcuffs and satellite backs, and the first early-ish RB to make the list is Miller. He isn’t a major value on our consensus ranks (RB27 vs. RB31 ADP), but he should be the lead runner in an explosive offense. I have plenty of both him and Foreman. Whoever is getting the touches and scoring TDs in this offense should be valuable.
You can see that I only have three shares of Henderson, and that is because I am off the hype train for now until the price comes down. He has been coming off the board in the fifth and sixth round of my drafts, and I firmly believe that to be too rich. As the great Gerry Bertier once said, “Coach, I’m hurt, I ain’t dead”. Todd Gurley still runs on these L.A. Rams streets, and that’s enough to stop me from reaching on Henderson.
Wide Receivers[table “2803” not found /]
Give me all the Kenny Stills. He is the WR62 off the board on DRAFT right now, but WR37 in our consensus ranks, and WR32 in our projections. Why are we so high on Stills?
Two things remain consistent when reading about #Dolphins OTAs:
– Kenny Stills has taken advantage of surplus reps and has a firm grasp on the team’s slot role.
– Uber-talented UDFA Preston Williams continues to make ‘wow’ plays each and every day.https://t.co/UvmfsmuF0W
— John Daigle (@notJDaigle) May 31, 2019
Stills is expected to play out of the slot, and has very little competition for targets. DeVante Parker has been #bad his entire career, and Albert Wilson still isn’t practicing since getting injured last October. This Dolphins coaching staff has a history of playing up-tempo and throwing a lot of passes. Stills should see plenty of volume, and he has a career 7.7% TD-rate with the Dolphins (four seasons).
Tate is another player that appears to be under-drafted. He doesn’t necessarily have the kind of profile I like to target, as his weekly range of outcomes could end up being fairly tight. He is our WR31 in consensus rankings, but WR49 in ADP. Until his ADP fits closer to his expected scoring outcome, I’ll be gobbling him up.
Antonio Brown is gone, but I’m still drafting Steeler WRs in heavy volume. Smith-Schuster is my current pick to finish the year as the WR1, so I have ended up with a lot of him in the second round. Washington was a deep-threat extraordinaire in college, finishing as the only player since 2000 to have 200 or more receptions and a yards per reception over 19(!). The Steelers have been of the most pass-heavy offenses in football, leading the entire league in attempts over the past five seasons. Keep buying their pass-catchers.
I’m still getting access to big-play speedsters. Hilton, Fuller, and Cooks can go from zero to 15 fantasy points real quick, and that’s the kind of variance I like to accept on my best ball rosters. The trio had a 20-point game in 22% of their contests.
Tight Ends[table “2804” not found /]
My TE list has been very tight so far, and I don’t plan on expanding a ton. Put simply, I want guys who can be top-end scorers at the position and am not interested in players who may just score me some incremental points throughout the year. For that reason, I’m grabbing as much Kelce and Kittle as I can. If they are on the board when I’m picking, I generally take them.
My two highest-exposure TEs are ones that I think could break into that elite tier this season but can be found in the fifth and sixth rounds. Howard has the highest yards per target (11.5) and yards per reception (16.6) of any TE the past two seasons (minimum 50 targets). Bruce Arians should unlock his ceiling if he can stay healthy. Fade the “but Arians has never produced a good TE” noise. His TEs in Arizona were Jermaine Gresham, Darren Fells, John Carlson, and Rob Housler. Not exactly a who’s who.
Henry, meanwhile has been a prodigious TD scorer when healthy and should be even more of a bull to cover in the red-zone with Mike Williams also there for defenses to consider. The Chargers have a great defense, but the quality of their offense should also trend towards elite in 2019. Henry may not be an every-week contributor, but there should be some multi-TD games in the game logs to boost your best ball teams.