As much fun as it is to call out how ludicrous projections are, it’s amazing how often we look to them for solace. Even me, who writes a weekly column calling them out, look to constantly updating projections throughout the day on Sunday as a means of support. Perhaps it was the projections, or maybe just common sense, that mae me feel good going into Sunday Night Football. Now, my good feeling wasn’t because Yahoo was under projecting Aaron Rodgers or Jamaal Charles or anything like that. Both of those players had ridiculous games on Monday night, as we come to expect from stars in prime time. No, it was me be down 3 points with CJ Anderson, Davonte Adams, and Cairo Santos facing off against just Mason Crosby.
Well, CJ Anderson CJ Andersoned me. Davonte Adams Davonte Adamsed me. Cairo Santos was just shocked he was even owned in a fantasy league. And that’s how I lost. So despite insane days from Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman, I was no match for Mason Crosby despite what my continuously updated projections told me.
I’ll stop complaining now.
The point remains, however. As much as we can disregard projections leading up to Sunday, we constantly take notice of the projections throughout our matchups, seeing what kind of shape we are in. It’s because we want something to hold on to (if we are winning), or something to laugh at maniacally in disbelief if we are losing. Once again, all this proves is projections are barely a guide. In that matchup I was referring to earlier, Yahoo came within 2 points of guessing any single player’s projection correct on my team. Super accurate. Let’s see if they did any better compared to my guesses from last week.
TJ Yeldon (13 points, Over) – Oh good, for the second week in a row my first pick was again a straight up disaster. Yeldon wound up rushing for 33 yards total with the Jaguars in garbage time from the first minute of the game. Of course, I expected this but didn’t actually care and still took the over. He did chip in 9 yards receiving. Yay?
DeMarco Murray (12 points, Under) – As expected, this one really wasn’t very fair. When we wrote this column back last Wednesday, we had a feeling that a tweaked hamstring could keep Murray out. The Eagles running attack actually had a pulse against the Jets, so it’s possible Murray could have done what Ryan Mathews did. We’ll call this one N/A.
Brandin Cooks (11 points, Under) – Welp, Yahoo couldn’t have gotten this one any more right. Cooks was much more involved in the offense than I expected with Luke McCown at quarterback, as without any other legitimate options, McCown targeted Cooks whenever he could. The sophomore wide receiver had 7 catches, for 79 yards and using the half point per reception format, that came out to right around 11 points.
Kendall Wright (10.5 points, Over) – Despite Vontae Davis playing, Kendall Wright’s positioning in the slot limited his exposure to the Colts best only cornerback. Wright was targeted a team high 12 times, coming down with 7 catches for 95 yards and a touchdown. We nailed this one. Yahoo didn’t.
Rob Gronkowski (13 points, Over) – This projection we said, was just an indictment on how low Yahoo projects players. We thought Gronk against Jacksonville was a lock for a touchdown (or seven). Instead, Gronk finished with 4 receptions for 101 yards; or around 12 points, just under the Yahoo projection of 13.
It’s clear that the projections from Yahoo kicked my ass this week. I went 1-3 (not counting DeMarco Murray), bringing my season total to an embarrassing 4-5. Maybe the computer projections do more than I do. We’ll see if CBS Sports has the same luck as Yahoo this week or if I can get back to my winning ways.