Don’t Send The House Against Tom Brady Because It Literally Doesn’t Work
There are a lot of Tom Brady stats than have (and will likely continue to) blow our minds. After all, a quarterback doesn't rack up five Super Bowl rings, four Super Bowl MVPs, two NFL MVP Awards, 12 Pro Bowl appearances and a whole slew of league records without doing some otherworldly things on the football field.
Still, even after watching him lead a 25-point comeback in Super Bowl LI couldn't prepare us for this truly mind-boggling statistic that illustrates his effectiveness against the 6+ man blitz:
There is no scenario in which a touchdown/interception ratio should register at 70/0. It's an incredible achievement on any front really. So while yes, blitzing six or more defenders against one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time is a high-risk move, it's also supposed to be high-reward; meaning that there is a chance that it pays off big. It's a basic principle we all learn in Economics 101.
Except when teams send the house against Tom Brady when he's in a position to score, the relationship between risk and reward gets warped. Sure, this doesn't account for sacks, or games like the 2015 AFC Championship against the Broncos in which the constant pressure from Von Miller and company wore him down.
However the only reason to call a blitz that aggressive is to force a turnover - or at the very least, prevent a touchdown. Brady has effectively nullified the high-reward part of a 6+ man blitz against the Patriots, rendering it a high-risk, almost-no-reward play.
What a legend.
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